LVGEM (China) Real Estate Investment Company Limited

SZSC:95 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$2.9b

LVGEM (China) Real Estate Investment Valuation

Is 95 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 95 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 95 (HK$0.57) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$8.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 95 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 95?

Key metric: As 95 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 95. This is calculated by dividing 95's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 95's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
SalesCN¥6.72b
Market CapCN¥2.70b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 95's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 95 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
35 Far East Consortium International
0.3x-11.6%HK$3.2b
1329 Beijing Capital Grand
0.9xn/aHK$2.1b
28 Tian An China Investments
1.7xn/aHK$5.6b
798 China Electronics Optics Valley Union Holding
0.4xn/aHK$1.9b
95 LVGEM (China) Real Estate Investment
0.4xn/aHK$2.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 95 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 95's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

90 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1908 C&D International Investment Group
0.2x3.1%US$3.37b
3900 Greentown China Holdings
0.2x-0.4%US$3.02b
1918 Sunac China Holdings
0.2x-14.2%US$2.80b
817 China Jinmao Holdings Group
0.2x-1.0%US$1.82b
95 0.4xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies90PS00.81.62.43.24+
90 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 95 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 95's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

95 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 95's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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