China Vanke Valuation

Is 2202 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2202 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2202 (HK$6.17) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$0.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2202 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2202?

Key metric: As 2202 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 2202. This is calculated by dividing 2202's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 2202's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesCN¥395.33b
Market CapCN¥93.93b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 2202's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 2202 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.9x
1113 CK Asset Holdings
2.5x15.7%HK$110.2b
960 Longfor Group Holdings
0.4x-6.3%HK$74.1b
12 Henderson Land Development
4.1x1.0%HK$118.4b
688 China Overseas Land & Investment
0.7x2.1%HK$144.0b
2202 China Vanke
0.3x-10.4%HK$93.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 2202 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (1.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 2202's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

90 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1908 C&D International Investment Group
0.2x3.1%US$3.29b
3900 Greentown China Holdings
0.1x-0.4%US$2.97b
1918 Sunac China Holdings
0.1x-14.2%US$2.76b
817 China Jinmao Holdings Group
0.2x-1.0%US$1.77b
2202 0.3xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies90PS00.81.62.43.24+
90 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 2202 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2202's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2202 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 2202 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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