China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited

SHSC:817 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$18.9b

China Jinmao Holdings Group Valuation

Is 817 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 817 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

HK$23.07
Fair Value
93.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 817 (HK$1.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$23.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 817 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 817?

Key metric: As 817 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 817. This is calculated by dividing 817's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 817's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35.9x
EarningsCN¥482.91m
Market CapCN¥17.33b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 817's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 817 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.4x
1030 Seazen Group
66x64.34%HK$16.1b
123 Yuexiu Property
30.5x30.25%HK$19.2b
81 China Overseas Grand Oceans Group
21.9x28.51%HK$8.4b
247 Tsim Sha Tsui Properties
19.2xn/aHK$44.8b
817 China Jinmao Holdings Group
35.9x31.75%HK$18.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 817 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.9x) compared to the peer average (34.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 817's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1168 Z Fin
0.8xn/aUS$361.52m
2183 Sansheng Holdings (Group)
2.8xn/aUS$248.74m
2768 Jiayuan International Group
1.4x31.60%US$151.18m
898 Multifield International Holdings
2.4xn/aUS$107.56m
817 35.9xIndustry Avg. 13.9xNo. of Companies18PE01224364860+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 817 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.9x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (13.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 817's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

817 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.9x
Fair PE Ratio20.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 817 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 817 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$1.40
HK$1.58
+12.81%
19.40%HK$1.90HK$0.90n/a10
Oct ’26HK$1.55
HK$1.57
+1.14%
20.32%HK$1.90HK$0.90n/a10
Sep ’26HK$1.52
HK$1.51
-0.39%
23.28%HK$1.90HK$0.90n/a10
Aug ’26HK$1.55
HK$1.39
-10.52%
19.52%HK$1.66HK$0.80n/a10
Jul ’26HK$1.19
HK$1.39
+16.55%
19.52%HK$1.66HK$0.80n/a10
Jun ’26HK$1.07
HK$1.38
+29.29%
19.90%HK$1.66HK$0.80n/a10
May ’26HK$1.15
HK$1.34
+16.47%
22.40%HK$1.66HK$0.80n/a11
Apr ’26HK$1.25
HK$1.30
+3.97%
22.21%HK$1.62HK$0.80n/a10
Mar ’26HK$1.11
HK$0.94
-15.01%
27.41%HK$1.30HK$0.46n/a10
Feb ’26HK$0.91
HK$0.93
+2.20%
29.62%HK$1.30HK$0.46n/a10
Jan ’26HK$0.98
HK$0.90
-7.92%
31.01%HK$1.30HK$0.46n/a10
Dec ’25HK$1.08
HK$0.85
-20.92%
29.10%HK$1.30HK$0.46n/a10
Nov ’25HK$1.20
HK$0.86
-28.73%
29.00%HK$1.30HK$0.46n/a10
Oct ’25HK$1.17
HK$0.80
-31.94%
21.19%HK$1.10HK$0.46HK$1.5510
Sep ’25HK$0.71
HK$0.92
+29.92%
69.91%HK$3.00HK$0.40HK$1.5212
Aug ’25HK$0.61
HK$0.90
+48.02%
72.88%HK$3.00HK$0.40HK$1.5512
Jul ’25HK$0.62
HK$0.90
+45.59%
72.90%HK$3.00HK$0.40HK$1.1912
Jun ’25HK$0.69
HK$0.88
+27.96%
74.57%HK$3.00HK$0.40HK$1.0712
May ’25HK$0.67
HK$0.88
+31.79%
74.56%HK$3.00HK$0.40HK$1.1512
Apr ’25HK$0.56
HK$0.90
+60.37%
72.29%HK$3.00HK$0.45HK$1.2512
Mar ’25HK$0.65
HK$1.35
+107.45%
49.57%HK$3.00HK$0.60HK$1.1112
Feb ’25HK$0.61
HK$1.42
+133.56%
43.55%HK$3.00HK$0.60HK$0.9113
Jan ’25HK$0.75
HK$1.57
+109.29%
33.29%HK$3.00HK$1.00HK$0.9812
Dec ’24HK$0.85
HK$1.59
+86.67%
30.42%HK$3.00HK$1.00HK$1.0813
Nov ’24HK$0.95
HK$1.65
+73.73%
30.48%HK$3.00HK$1.00HK$1.2014
Oct ’24HK$1.01
HK$1.69
+66.91%
29.48%HK$3.00HK$1.00HK$1.1714
HK$1.58
Fair Value
11.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/16 09:01
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/16 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited is covered by 39 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Eric DuBofA Global Research
Siu-Fung LungCCB International Securities Limited
Jizhong HuCGS International