ESR Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

ESR Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 78.9% and 16.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 117% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 5.4% in 3 years.

Key information

78.9%

Earnings growth rate

117.0%

EPS growth rate

Real Estate earnings growth	20.3%
Revenue growth rate	16.4%
Future return on equity	5.4%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	26 Aug 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SHSC:1821 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	978	439	N/A	585	4
12/31/2025	875	445	414	532	9
12/31/2024	674	360	-25	184	4
6/30/2024	622	-304	233	284	N/A
3/31/2024	737	-50	152	213	N/A
12/31/2023	851	204	71	143	N/A
9/30/2023	928	336	-19	76	N/A
6/30/2023	1,005	469	-108	10	N/A
3/31/2023	1,026	522	-85	44	N/A
12/31/2022	1,048	574	-61	79	N/A
9/30/2022	957	545	15	119	N/A
6/30/2022	867	516	91	159	N/A
3/31/2022	720	433	80	117	N/A
12/31/2021	572	349	70	75	N/A
9/30/2021	554	358	63	71	N/A
6/30/2021	535	367	57	68	N/A
3/31/2021	514	327	66	77	N/A
12/31/2020	493	286	75	86	N/A
9/30/2020	506	294	73	77	N/A
6/30/2020	518	302	72	68	N/A
3/31/2020	484	274	61	62	N/A
12/31/2019	451	245	51	56	N/A
9/30/2019	410	231	60	84	N/A
6/30/2019	385	217	43	70	N/A
3/31/2019	352	210	48	75	N/A
12/31/2018	320	203	54	79	N/A
9/30/2018	278	198	20	34	N/A
12/31/2017	190	187	N/A	34	N/A
12/31/2016	133	88	N/A	20	N/A
12/31/2015	52	9	N/A	29	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 1821 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 1821 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: 1821 is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 1821's revenue (16.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (7.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 1821's revenue (16.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 1821's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5.4%).

ESR Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

ESR Group Limited Announces Change of Chairman of the Board of Directors, Effective 2 September 2024

ESR Group Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 21, 2024

New minor risk - Share price stability

ESR Group Limited Announces Directorate Changes

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.13 per share

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 28%

ESR Reportedly Progresses in Privatization Talks Led by Warburg Pincus

New minor risk - Earnings quality

ESR Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 31, 2024

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

ESR Group Limited Proposes Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2023, Payable on 28 June 2024

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 22%

ESR Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 21, 2024

ESR Group Limited Announces Appointment of Joanne Sarah McNamara as Non-Executive Director, Effective 1 January 2024

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.13 per share at 2.1% yield

ESR Group Limited Declares Interim Dividend for the Financial Year Ending 31 December 2023, Payable on 29 September 2023

ESR Group Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 23, 2023

Paceline Equity Partners, LLC and ESR Group acquired Renaissance Dallas at Plano Legacy West Hotel from SAM Moon Trading, Inc.

ESR Group Limited Announces Retirement of Wei Hu as A Non-Executive Director

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.13 per share at 1.9% yield

Insider recently bought HK$54k worth of stock

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought HK$2.4m worth of stock

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

UBS Group AG on behalf of its clients acquired 13-storey office block from ESR Group Limited (SEHK:1821) and Partners Group Holding AG (SWX:PGHN).

Insider recently bought HK$56k worth of stock

Now 21% undervalued

ESR Group Limited Announces Change of Chief Financial Officer

ESR Group Limited Declares Maiden Interim Dividend for the Year Ending December 31, 2022, Payable on September 30, 2022

ESR Group Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 25, 2022

ESR Group Limited (SEHK:1821) acquired additional 25% stake in ESR Funds Management (S) Limited from Shanghai Summit Pte Ltd.

ESR Group Limited Board Establishes Dividend Policy

EG Phoenix IX Limited entered into the SPA to acquire 100% issued shares in ABM Capital Limited from ESR Group Limited (SEHK:1821) for approximately CNY 390 million.

EG Phoenix IX Limited entered into the SPA to acquire 100% issued shares in ABM Capital Limited from ESR Group Limited (SEHK:1821) for approximately CNY 390 million.

ESR Cayman Limited Announces Board Changes

ESR Cayman Limited Appoints Wei-Lin Kwee as an Independent Non-Executive Director

An unknown buyer agreed to acquire 18.16% stake in China Logistics Property Holdings Co., Ltd (SEHK:1589) from ESR Cayman Limited (SEHK:1821) for HKD 2.7 billion.

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

ESR Cayman Limited Announces Appointment of Ms. Serene Siew Noi Nah as Independent Non-Executive Directorx

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

ESR Cayman Limited (SEHK:1821) and an unknown investor acquired Portfolio of 11 logistics properties in China.

ESR Cayman Limited (SEHK:1821) (ESR) completed the acquisition of ARA Asset Management Limited (ARA) from a group of investors.

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought HK$466k worth of stock

GIC Pte. Ltd. and ESR Cayman Limited (SEHK:1821) completed the acquisition of Australian logistics property portfolio from The Blackstone Group Inc. (NYSE:BX).

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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