Hang Lung Properties Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Hang Lung Properties is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13.2% and 3.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 11.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 3% in 3 years.

Key information

13.2%

Earnings growth rate

11.1%

EPS growth rate

Real Estate earnings growth	20.4%
Revenue growth rate	3.8%
Future return on equity	3.0%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	27 Sep 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SHSC:101 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (HKD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	12,141	3,842	N/A	5,899	10
12/31/2025	11,570	3,584	-74	5,268	13
12/31/2024	11,615	3,189	-3,865	5,566	12
6/30/2024	11,228	2,637	3,504	3,504	N/A
3/31/2024	10,790	3,304	3,608	3,608	N/A
12/31/2023	10,352	3,970	3,712	3,712	N/A
9/30/2023	10,334	4,126	4,129	4,129	N/A
6/30/2023	10,315	4,282	4,546	4,546	N/A
3/31/2023	10,343	4,059	4,343	4,343	N/A
12/31/2022	10,371	3,836	4,139	4,139	N/A
9/30/2022	10,519	3,709	4,330	4,330	N/A
6/30/2022	10,667	3,581	4,520	4,520	N/A
3/31/2022	10,498	3,725	3,626	3,626	N/A
12/31/2021	10,329	3,868	2,732	2,732	N/A
9/30/2021	10,022	3,035	2,329	2,329	N/A
6/30/2021	9,714	2,201	1,925	1,925	N/A
3/31/2021	9,300	-185	2,669	2,669	N/A
12/31/2020	8,885	-2,571	3,413	3,413	N/A
9/30/2020	8,825	-1,226	4,008	4,008	N/A
6/30/2020	8,765	119	4,603	4,603	N/A
3/31/2020	8,813	3,146	4,961	4,961	N/A
12/31/2019	8,861	6,172	5,319	5,319	N/A
9/30/2019	8,702	6,539	5,017	5,017	N/A
6/30/2019	8,543	6,905	4,714	4,714	N/A
3/31/2019	9,024	7,492	5,226	5,226	N/A
12/31/2018	9,505	8,078	5,738	5,738	N/A
9/30/2018	9,800	8,531	5,533	5,533	N/A
6/30/2018	10,095	8,983	5,328	5,328	N/A
3/31/2018	10,686	8,554	N/A	6,943	N/A
12/31/2017	11,277	8,124	N/A	8,557	N/A
9/30/2017	12,222	7,607	N/A	9,391	N/A
6/30/2017	13,166	7,090	N/A	10,225	N/A
3/31/2017	13,144	6,643	N/A	8,480	N/A
12/31/2016	13,121	6,195	N/A	6,735	N/A
9/30/2016	11,921	5,691	N/A	6,407	N/A
6/30/2016	10,720	5,186	N/A	6,078	N/A
3/31/2016	9,872	5,139	N/A	5,769	N/A
12/31/2015	9,023	5,092	N/A	5,460	N/A
9/30/2015	13,146	8,210	N/A	9,474	N/A
6/30/2015	17,268	11,328	N/A	13,488	N/A
3/31/2015	17,187	11,516	N/A	14,425	N/A
12/31/2014	17,105	11,704	N/A	15,362	N/A
9/30/2014	13,735	9,653	N/A	11,408	N/A
6/30/2014	10,365	7,601	N/A	7,454	N/A
3/31/2014	9,800	7,407	N/A	6,305	N/A
12/31/2013	9,234	7,212	N/A	5,156	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 101's forecast earnings growth (13.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 101's earnings (13.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (12.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 101's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 101's revenue (3.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (7.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 101's revenue (3.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 101's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (3%).

Hang Lung Properties Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Now 25% overvalued after recent price rise

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: HK$0.23 (vs HK$0.53 in 1H 2023)

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.12 per share

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: HK$0.23 (vs HK$0.53 in 1H 2023)

New major risk - Dividend sustainability

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Hang Lung Properties Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Jul 30, 2024

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Hang Lung Properties Limited Announces Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2023, Payable on 14 June 2024

New minor risk - Dividend sustainability

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: HK$0.88 (vs HK$0.85 in FY 2022)

Hang Lung Properties Limited Announces Board Changes

Executive Vice Chair of the Board recently bought HK$1.8m worth of stock

Final dividend of HK$0.60 announced

Hang Lung Properties Limited, Annual General Meeting, Apr 26, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: HK$0.88 (vs HK$0.85 in FY 2022)

Hang Lung Properties Limited and Hang Lung Group Limited Announce Retirement of Mr. Ronnie Chichung Chan as the Chair, an Executive Director, and the Chair of Executive Committees, with Effect from April 26, 2024

Hang Lung Properties Limited, Annual General Meeting, Apr 26, 2024

Now 20% overvalued

Hang Lung Properties Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Jan 30, 2024

Hang Lung Properties Limited Declares Interim Dividend to Be Paid in Cash on September 29, 2023

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.18 per share at 7.4% yield

CEO & Executive Director recently bought HK$506k worth of stock

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: HK$0.53 (vs HK$0.43 in 1H 2022)

Hang Lung Properties Limited Announces Interim Dividend for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2023

Hang Lung Properties Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Jul 31, 2023

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.60 per share at 5.5% yield

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: HK$0.85 (vs HK$0.86 in FY 2021)

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: HK$0.85 (vs HK$0.86 in FY 2021)

Hang Lung Properties Limited Proposes Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2022, Payable on 19 May 2023

Hang Lung Properties Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Jan 31, 2023

Insufficient new directors

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Executive Vice Chair of the Board recently bought HK$5.0m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.18 per share

CEO & Executive Director recently bought HK$669k worth of stock

CEO & Executive Director recently bought HK$798k worth of stock

First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: HK$0.43 (vs HK$0.50 in 1H 2021)

Hang Lung Properties Limited Declares Interim Dividend for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2022, Payable on 29 September 2022

Hang Lung Properties Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Jul 28, 2022

Hang Lung Properties Declares Final Dividend for 2021

Insufficient new directors

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Hang Lung Properties Limited Declares Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2021 Payable on 19 May 2022

CEO & Executive Director recently bought HK$822k worth of stock

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS HK$0.50 (vs HK$0.56 loss in 1H 2020)

CEO & Executive Director recently bought HK$4.5m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.18 per share

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS HK$0.50 (vs HK$0.56 loss in 1H 2020)

Director of General Counsel has left the company

Independent Non-Executive Director has left the company

Hang Lung Properties Limited Declares Final Dividend

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.59 per share

Full year 2020 earnings released: HK$0.57 loss per share (vs HK$1.37 profit in FY 2019)

New 90-day high: HK$22.30

Hang Lung Properties Limited Announces Retirement of Ronald Joseph Arculli as Independent Non-Executive Director

Full year 2020 earnings released: HK$0.57 loss per share (vs HK$1.37 profit in FY 2019)

Revenue misses expectations

Hang Lung Properties Limited, Annual General Meeting, Apr 30, 2021

Hang Lung Properties Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Jan 28, 2021

Hang Lung Collaborates with Hyatt to Open New Luxury Grand Hyatt Hotel in Kunming

First half earnings released

Upcoming Dividend of HK$0.17 Per Share

New 90-day high - HK$21.75

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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