Central China New Life Limited

SEHK:9983 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$1.6b

Central China New Life Valuation

Is 9983 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9983 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9983 (HK$1.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$43.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9983 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9983?

Key metric: As 9983 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 9983. This is calculated by dividing 9983's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 9983's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesCN¥2.97b
Market CapCN¥1.46b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 9983's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 9983 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.8x
194 Liu Chong Hing Investment
2.1xn/aHK$1.5b
158 Melbourne Enterprises
9.9xn/aHK$1.6b
9909 Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings
0.5x4.0%HK$1.5b
105 Associated International Hotels
6.7xn/aHK$1.9b
9983 Central China New Life
0.5x4.2%HK$1.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 9983 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (4.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 9983's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

89 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1908 C&D International Investment Group
0.2x3.1%US$3.51b
3900 Greentown China Holdings
0.1x-0.4%US$3.06b
1918 Sunac China Holdings
0.2x-14.2%US$2.81b
817 China Jinmao Holdings Group
0.2x-1.0%US$1.87b
9983 0.5xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies89PS00.81.62.43.24+
89 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 9983 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9983's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9983 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 9983 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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