Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings Limited

SEHK:9909 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$1.5b

Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings Valuation

Is 9909 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9909 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9909 (HK$2.38) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$13.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9909 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9909?

Key metric: As 9909 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9909. This is calculated by dividing 9909's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9909's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio3.6x
EarningsCN¥390.48m
Market CapCN¥1.42b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9909's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9909 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.4x
6989 Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group
4.8xn/aHK$1.6b
2215 Dexin Services Group
31xn/aHK$1.4b
6668 E-Star Commercial Management
7.3xn/aHK$1.3b
3658 New Hope Service Holdings
6.4x11.1%HK$1.5b
9909 Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings
3.6x5.4%HK$1.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9909 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.6x) compared to the peer average (12.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9909's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
29 Dynamic Holdings
0.3xn/aUS$229.97m
2768 Jiayuan International Group
1.4x31.6%US$151.18m
3883 China Aoyuan Group
0.07xn/aUS$143.57m
2117 Datang Group Holdings
1.2xn/aUS$87.18m
9909 3.6xIndustry Avg. 7.5xNo. of Companies16PE0612182430+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9909 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.6x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (7.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9909's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9909 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.6x
Fair PE Ratio6.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9909 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9909 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$2.38
HK$2.47
+3.8%
17.1%HK$2.91HK$1.90n/a3
Nov ’25HK$2.58
HK$2.47
-4.3%
17.1%HK$2.91HK$1.90n/a3
Oct ’25HK$3.33
HK$2.47
-25.8%
17.1%HK$2.91HK$1.90n/a3
Sep ’25HK$2.66
HK$2.77
+4.0%
5.8%HK$2.90HK$2.54n/a3
Aug ’25HK$2.51
HK$2.72
+8.3%
5.5%HK$2.89HK$2.49n/a4
Jul ’25HK$2.67
HK$2.75
+3.0%
6.1%HK$2.90HK$2.49n/a4
Jun ’25HK$3.13
HK$2.76
-12.0%
6.0%HK$2.90HK$2.50n/a4
May ’25HK$2.66
HK$2.76
+3.6%
6.0%HK$2.90HK$2.50n/a4
Apr ’25HK$2.45
HK$3.04
+24.1%
16.5%HK$3.86HK$2.50n/a4
Mar ’25HK$2.79
HK$4.13
+47.9%
23.3%HK$5.76HK$3.00n/a5
Feb ’25HK$2.60
HK$4.13
+58.8%
23.3%HK$5.76HK$3.00n/a5
Jan ’25HK$2.79
HK$4.53
+62.2%
17.8%HK$5.79HK$3.48n/a5
Dec ’24HK$2.48
HK$4.66
+87.7%
15.8%HK$5.66HK$3.40n/a5
Nov ’24HK$3.23
HK$4.66
+44.1%
15.8%HK$5.66HK$3.40HK$2.585
Oct ’24HK$3.20
HK$5.51
+72.3%
27.0%HK$9.06HK$4.47HK$3.337
Sep ’24HK$3.92
HK$5.77
+47.3%
26.0%HK$9.14HK$4.50HK$2.667
Aug ’24HK$4.09
HK$6.19
+51.3%
28.4%HK$9.22HK$3.49HK$2.518
Jul ’24HK$3.88
HK$6.99
+80.2%
22.7%HK$9.41HK$3.79HK$2.678
Jun ’24HK$4.03
HK$6.99
+73.5%
22.7%HK$9.41HK$3.79HK$3.138
May ’24HK$5.06
HK$7.16
+41.6%
23.0%HK$9.67HK$3.89HK$2.668
Apr ’24HK$5.69
HK$6.97
+22.5%
25.2%HK$9.70HK$3.32HK$2.459
Mar ’24HK$6.11
HK$6.74
+10.4%
31.9%HK$10.43HK$3.40HK$2.798
Feb ’24HK$6.52
HK$6.74
+3.4%
31.9%HK$10.43HK$3.40HK$2.608
Jan ’24HK$6.46
HK$5.94
-8.1%
34.6%HK$10.23HK$3.33HK$2.798
Dec ’23HK$6.18
HK$4.93
-20.2%
24.7%HK$7.35HK$3.09HK$2.489
Nov ’23HK$2.53
HK$6.86
+171.2%
84.5%HK$23.90HK$3.11HK$3.2310

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

C&D International Investment Group

HK$27.4b

An investment holding company, engages in the property development, real estate industry chain investment services, and industry investment activities in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and internationally.

1908

HK$13.56

7D

-1.9%

1Y

-25.1%

C&D International Investment Group

HK$27.4b

An investment holding company, engages in the property development, real estate industry chain investment services, and industry investment activities in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and internationally.

1908

HK$13.56

7D

-1.9%

1Y

-25.1%

Poly Property Group

HK$6.2b

An investment holding company, engages in the property investment, development, and management business in Hong Kong, the People’s Republic of China, and internationally.

119

HK$1.61

7D

-1.8%

1Y

-8.5%