Jinke Smart Services Group Co., Ltd.

SEHK:9666 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$3.8b

Jinke Smart Services Group Valuation

Is 9666 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9666 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9666 (HK$6.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$0.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9666 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9666?

Key metric: As 9666 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 9666. This is calculated by dividing 9666's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 9666's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.7x
SalesCN¥4.93b
Market CapCN¥3.56b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 9666's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 9666 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
410 SOHO China
2.1xn/aHK$3.8b
3319 A-Living Smart City Services
0.3x2.4%HK$4.1b
1516 Sunac Services Holdings
0.7x6.5%HK$5.3b
1995 Ever Sunshine Services Group
0.5x7.8%HK$3.5b
9666 Jinke Smart Services Group
0.7x5.6%HK$3.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 9666 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 9666's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

89 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1908 C&D International Investment Group
0.2x3.1%US$3.29b
3900 Greentown China Holdings
0.1x-0.4%US$2.97b
1918 Sunac China Holdings
0.2x-14.2%US$2.76b
817 China Jinmao Holdings Group
0.2x-1.0%US$1.77b
9666 0.7xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies89PS00.81.62.43.24+
89 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 9666 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (0.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9666's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9666 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.7x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 9666 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9666 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$6.40
HK$7.80
+21.9%
10.7%HK$8.62HK$6.65n/a3
Nov ’25HK$7.48
HK$17.27
+130.9%
95.2%HK$45.73HK$6.64n/a4
Oct ’25HK$8.62
HK$18.10
+110.0%
90.9%HK$46.51HK$6.75n/a4
Sep ’25HK$8.42
HK$16.25
+93.0%
92.3%HK$46.15HK$6.70n/a5
Aug ’25HK$7.72
HK$14.27
+84.8%
97.6%HK$45.21HK$5.88n/a6
Jul ’25HK$7.39
HK$8.07
+9.2%
19.9%HK$10.37HK$5.88n/a5
Jun ’25HK$8.87
HK$8.09
-8.8%
20.0%HK$10.42HK$5.90n/a5
May ’25HK$9.10
HK$8.31
-8.7%
20.9%HK$11.35HK$5.91n/a6
Apr ’25HK$8.89
HK$8.51
-4.3%
22.5%HK$11.35HK$5.26n/a7
Mar ’25HK$9.31
HK$8.81
-5.4%
21.8%HK$11.46HK$5.31n/a7
Feb ’25HK$8.22
HK$8.81
+7.1%
23.3%HK$11.40HK$5.28n/a6
Jan ’25HK$11.04
HK$9.29
-15.8%
20.4%HK$11.53HK$5.45n/a6
Dec ’24HK$9.06
HK$9.07
+0.1%
20.3%HK$11.21HK$5.31n/a6
Nov ’24HK$7.88
HK$9.07
+15.1%
20.3%HK$11.21HK$5.31HK$7.486
Oct ’24HK$9.84
HK$8.92
-9.4%
27.2%HK$12.85HK$5.30HK$8.628
Sep ’24HK$10.30
HK$9.54
-7.4%
24.0%HK$13.00HK$5.66HK$8.428
Aug ’24HK$12.14
HK$9.63
-20.7%
24.2%HK$12.93HK$5.69HK$7.728
Jul ’24HK$11.28
HK$9.71
-13.9%
27.8%HK$14.52HK$5.41HK$7.398
Jun ’24HK$10.66
HK$11.29
+5.9%
31.0%HK$15.38HK$5.67HK$8.878
May ’24HK$11.98
HK$11.29
-5.8%
31.0%HK$15.38HK$5.67HK$9.108
Apr ’24HK$12.00
HK$12.91
+7.5%
29.2%HK$18.82HK$6.54HK$8.899
Mar ’24HK$12.84
HK$13.08
+1.9%
29.5%HK$19.00HK$5.59HK$9.319
Feb ’24HK$14.22
HK$13.08
-8.0%
29.5%HK$19.00HK$5.59HK$8.229
Jan ’24HK$13.70
HK$12.17
-11.2%
34.9%HK$19.21HK$5.69HK$11.048
Dec ’23HK$15.68
HK$10.30
-34.3%
30.6%HK$17.01HK$5.49HK$9.069
Nov ’23HK$11.60
HK$10.21
-12.0%
28.6%HK$16.03HK$5.50HK$7.889

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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