Sunac Services Holdings Limited

SEHK:1516 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$6.0b

Sunac Services Holdings Valuation

Is 1516 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1516 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1516 (HK$1.96) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$22.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1516 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1516?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

1516 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-4.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1516's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1516 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
9666 Jinke Smart Services Group
0.8x5.6%HK$4.5b
6666 Evergrande Property Services Group
0.6xn/aHK$8.6b
3319 A-Living Smart City Services
0.3x3.8%HK$4.5b
410 SOHO China
2.1xn/aHK$3.8b
1516 Sunac Services Holdings
0.8x7.5%HK$6.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1516 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1516's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1516 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1516's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1516 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.8x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1516 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1516 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$1.96
HK$2.08
+6.1%
28.8%HK$3.18HK$1.20n/a7
Oct ’25HK$2.27
HK$1.94
-14.5%
21.1%HK$2.50HK$1.20n/a7
Sep ’25HK$1.69
HK$1.83
+8.0%
17.3%HK$2.20HK$1.20n/a8
Aug ’25HK$1.71
HK$1.87
+9.1%
19.9%HK$2.48HK$1.20n/a8
Jul ’25HK$1.81
HK$1.87
+3.1%
19.9%HK$2.48HK$1.20n/a8
Jun ’25HK$1.88
HK$1.87
-0.7%
19.9%HK$2.48HK$1.20n/a8
May ’25HK$1.96
HK$1.80
-8.0%
19.5%HK$2.48HK$1.20n/a8
Apr ’25HK$1.86
HK$1.95
+4.6%
20.0%HK$2.48HK$1.20n/a8
Mar ’25HK$1.98
HK$2.04
+3.2%
22.5%HK$2.70HK$1.20n/a8
Feb ’25HK$1.61
HK$2.08
+29.2%
20.7%HK$2.70HK$1.20n/a9
Jan ’25HK$1.87
HK$2.28
+21.9%
18.2%HK$2.70HK$1.20n/a9
Dec ’24HK$2.27
HK$2.28
+0.4%
18.2%HK$2.70HK$1.20n/a9
Nov ’24HK$2.07
HK$2.28
+10.1%
18.2%HK$2.70HK$1.20HK$1.969
Oct ’24HK$2.47
HK$2.44
-1.1%
25.6%HK$3.90HK$1.20HK$2.2710
Sep ’24HK$2.45
HK$2.59
+5.6%
25.1%HK$3.90HK$1.30HK$1.6911
Aug ’24HK$2.48
HK$2.83
+14.0%
25.3%HK$3.90HK$1.30HK$1.7111
Jul ’24HK$2.21
HK$3.00
+35.5%
24.1%HK$3.90HK$1.30HK$1.8111
Jun ’24HK$2.12
HK$3.00
+41.3%
24.1%HK$3.90HK$1.30HK$1.8811
May ’24HK$2.83
HK$3.00
+5.8%
24.1%HK$3.90HK$1.30HK$1.9611
Apr ’24HK$3.35
HK$2.93
-12.7%
23.3%HK$3.60HK$1.30HK$1.8610
Mar ’24HK$3.35
HK$4.67
+39.4%
81.3%HK$15.80HK$1.30HK$1.9811
Feb ’24HK$4.01
HK$4.68
+16.7%
81.0%HK$15.80HK$1.30HK$1.6111
Jan ’24HK$4.20
HK$4.31
+2.5%
90.4%HK$15.80HK$1.30HK$1.8711
Dec ’23HK$3.75
HK$4.05
+7.9%
98.4%HK$15.80HK$1.30HK$2.2711
Nov ’23HK$1.42
HK$4.33
+205.2%
90.7%HK$15.80HK$1.30HK$2.0712

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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