Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Jinmao Property Services Co., Limited's (HKG:816) Muted Earnings Despite A 26% Share Price Rise

SEHK:816
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Jinmao Property Services Co., Limited (HKG:816) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 29% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, Jinmao Property Services' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 19x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Jinmao Property Services' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Jinmao Property Services

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:816 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 6th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Jinmao Property Services' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Jinmao Property Services would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 1.8% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 287% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 11% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 16% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Jinmao Property Services' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Jinmao Property Services' P/E?

Despite Jinmao Property Services' shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Jinmao Property Services maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Jinmao Property Services that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Jinmao Property Services. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.