Stock Analysis

Peking University Resources (Holdings) Company Limited's (HKG:618) 26% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio

SEHK:618
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Peking University Resources (Holdings) Company Limited (HKG:618) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 33% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s P/S ratio of 0.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Real Estate industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Peking University Resources (Holdings)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:618 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 30th 2024

How Peking University Resources (Holdings) Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 64%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 81% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 8.2% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Following Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that Peking University Resources (Holdings) currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Peking University Resources (Holdings) (1 is significant) you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.