Stock Analysis

Does Qingdao Holdings International (HKG:499) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:499
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Qingdao Holdings International Limited (HKG:499) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Qingdao Holdings International

How Much Debt Does Qingdao Holdings International Carry?

As you can see below, Qingdao Holdings International had CN¥508.4m of debt at June 2023, down from CN¥558.8m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥157.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥351.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:499 Debt to Equity History August 28th 2023

A Look At Qingdao Holdings International's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Qingdao Holdings International had liabilities of CN¥432.7m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥351.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥157.3m as well as receivables valued at CN¥164.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥462.6m.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥103.0m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Qingdao Holdings International would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Qingdao Holdings International's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Qingdao Holdings International made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥38m, which is a fall of 41%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Qingdao Holdings International's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥12m at the EBIT level. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely since it is low on liquid assets, and made a loss of CN¥104m in the last year. So we think this stock is quite risky. We'd prefer to pass. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Qingdao Holdings International (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Qingdao Holdings International might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.