Stock Analysis

Everbright Grand China Assets' (HKG:3699) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

SEHK:3699
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Everbright Grand China Assets Limited (HKG:3699) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 18th of July to CN¥0.0151, which will be 129% higher than last year's comparable payment amount of CN¥0.0066. This takes the annual payment to 6.9% of the current stock price, which is about average for the industry.

Everbright Grand China Assets' Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage

We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. However, prior to this announcement, Everbright Grand China Assets' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that most of what the business earns is being used to help it grow.

Unless the company can turn things around, EPS could fall by 7.5% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 44%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.

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SEHK:3699 Historic Dividend April 3rd 2025

View our latest analysis for Everbright Grand China Assets

Everbright Grand China Assets' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Even in its relatively short history, the company has reduced the dividend at least once. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. Since 2020, the annual payment back then was CN¥0.0203, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CN¥0.0217. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 1.3% over that duration. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company's earnings are not consistent.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Everbright Grand China Assets has seen earnings per share falling at 7.5% per year over the last five years. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth.

In Summary

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 5 warning signs for Everbright Grand China Assets you should be aware of, and 2 of them don't sit too well with us. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.