Stock Analysis

Greentown Service Group (HKG:2869) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

SEHK:2869
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. (HKG:2869) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Greentown Service Group

What Is Greentown Service Group's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Greentown Service Group had CN¥281.6m of debt, an increase on CN¥189.8m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥5.20b in cash, leading to a CN¥4.92b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2869 Debt to Equity History December 15th 2023

How Healthy Is Greentown Service Group's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Greentown Service Group had liabilities of CN¥8.32b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.32b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥5.20b in cash and CN¥5.51b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.06b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that Greentown Service Group has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Greentown Service Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

On the other hand, Greentown Service Group saw its EBIT drop by 3.2% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Greentown Service Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Greentown Service Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Greentown Service Group produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 55% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Greentown Service Group has net cash of CN¥4.92b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't think Greentown Service Group's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Greentown Service Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.