Stock Analysis

Health Check: How Prudently Does Rykadan Capital (HKG:2288) Use Debt?

SEHK:2288
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Rykadan Capital Limited (HKG:2288) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Rykadan Capital

How Much Debt Does Rykadan Capital Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Rykadan Capital had debt of HK$312.8m at the end of March 2023, a reduction from HK$331.6m over a year. However, it also had HK$167.5m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$145.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2288 Debt to Equity History July 2nd 2023

A Look At Rykadan Capital's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Rykadan Capital had liabilities of HK$232.3m due within a year, and liabilities of HK$95.9m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$167.5m and HK$43.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$117.4m.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of HK$122.0m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Rykadan Capital will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Rykadan Capital's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Rykadan Capital produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$27m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of HK$189m. So we do think this stock is quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Rykadan Capital (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Rykadan Capital is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.