Poly Property Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Poly Property Group's earnings are forecast to decline at 2.1% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 1.6% per year.

Key information

-2.1%

Earnings growth rate

n/a

EPS growth rate

Real Estate earnings growth	21.5%
Revenue growth rate	1.6%
Future return on equity	3.0%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	09 Sep 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Poly Property Group Co., Limited's (HKG:119) 28% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Sep 27

Poly Property Group (HKG:119) Has No Shortage Of Debt

Sep 24

Poly Property Group Co., Limited's (HKG:119) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 29%

May 24

Poly Property Group (HKG:119) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At HK$0.14

Mar 28

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119)

Feb 08

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119)

Oct 28

Calculating The Fair Value Of Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119)

Jul 28

Poly Property Group (HKG:119) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

Apr 05

A Look At Poly Property Group's (HKG:119) Share Price Returns

Mar 10

Is Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119) At Risk Of Cutting Its Dividend?

Feb 12

What Kind Of Shareholders Hold The Majority In Poly Property Group Co., Limited's (HKG:119) Shares?

Jan 22

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119)

Jan 01

If You Had Bought Poly Property Group's (HKG:119) Shares Three Years Ago You Would Be Down 47%

Dec 10

When Should You Buy Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119)?

Nov 21

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SEHK:119 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	39,072	1,008	N/A	8,691	2
12/31/2025	38,114	861	N/A	7,298	2
12/31/2024	37,196	729	N/A	40	2
6/30/2024	37,750	1,179	2,820	2,849	N/A
3/31/2024	39,341	1,312	4,080	4,109	N/A
12/31/2023	40,932	1,445	5,340	5,369	N/A
9/30/2023	39,501	816	3,073	3,318	N/A
6/30/2023	38,070	187	807	1,266	N/A
3/31/2023	39,598	501	-6,545	-6,086	N/A
12/31/2022	41,127	816	-13,897	-13,438	N/A
9/30/2022	39,240	1,384	-11,206	-10,952	N/A
6/30/2022	36,987	1,908	-8,302	-8,253	N/A
3/31/2022	33,957	2,020	-7,260	-7,211	N/A
12/31/2021	30,305	2,059	-5,856	-5,807	N/A
9/30/2021	28,549	2,153	-6,495	-6,450	N/A
6/30/2021	26,916	2,258	-7,168	-7,126	N/A
3/31/2021	26,823	1,937	-6,217	-6,174	N/A
12/31/2020	26,339	1,583	-5,163	-5,121	N/A
9/30/2020	29,228	1,228	-8,572	-8,532	N/A
6/30/2020	32,307	842	-12,248	-12,210	N/A
3/31/2020	34,433	2,173	-8,298	-8,261	N/A
12/31/2019	35,692	3,425	-4,228	-4,191	N/A
9/30/2019	33,590	4,190	-1,790	-1,715	N/A
6/30/2019	29,655	4,710	707	816	N/A
3/31/2019	24,354	3,249	452	557	N/A
12/31/2018	20,409	1,969	221	330	N/A
9/30/2018	20,712	2,060	2,891	2,959	N/A
6/30/2018	20,230	2,070	5,347	5,374	N/A
3/31/2018	22,252	1,965	N/A	5,496	N/A
12/31/2017	26,403	2,050	N/A	6,149	N/A
9/30/2017	28,538	1,326	N/A	4,908	N/A
6/30/2017	30,662	565	N/A	3,596	N/A
3/31/2017	29,189	324	N/A	4,086	N/A
12/31/2016	27,382	72	N/A	4,551	N/A
9/30/2016	24,942	-1,195	N/A	4,221	N/A
6/30/2016	23,508	-2,452	N/A	4,058	N/A
3/31/2016	21,788	-2,363	N/A	1,842	N/A
12/31/2015	20,887	-2,360	N/A	-259	N/A
9/30/2015	20,392	-1,197	N/A	-796	N/A
6/30/2015	19,827	-81	N/A	-1,304	N/A
3/31/2015	21,309	331	N/A	-2,664	N/A
12/31/2014	22,802	743	N/A	-4,026	N/A
9/30/2014	22,919	1,115	N/A	-4,240	N/A
6/30/2014	23,650	1,517	N/A	-4,568	N/A
3/31/2014	23,282	1,846	N/A	-2,302	N/A
12/31/2013	22,350	2,120	N/A	-41	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 119's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.1% per year).

Earnings vs Market: 119's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 119's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 119's revenue (1.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 119's revenue (1.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 119's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (3%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/21 05:08
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Poly Property Group Co., Limited is covered by 25 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Alvin Wong	Barclays
Wee Liat Lee	BNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Ronney Cheung	BNP Paribas Securities (Asia)

Poly Property Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Poly Property Group Co., Limited Provides Preliminary Unaudited Consolidated Group Earnings Guidance for Six Months Period Ended 30 June 2024

Poly Property Group Co., Limited Provides Group Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2021

Recent updates

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.098 (vs CN¥0.17 in 1H 2023)

Poly Property Group Co., Limited's (HKG:119) 28% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Poly Property Group (HKG:119) Has No Shortage Of Debt

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Poly Property Group Co., Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 29, 2024

Poly Property Group Co., Limited Provides Preliminary Unaudited Consolidated Group Earnings Guidance for Six Months Period Ended 30 June 2024

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.083 per share

Poly Property Group Co., Limited's (HKG:119) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 29%

Poly Property Group Co., Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 13, 2024

A Look At The Fair Value Of Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119)

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Poly Property Group Co., Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jul 17, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Poly Property Group Co., Limited Announces Appointment of Hu Zaixin as Managing Director

Poly Property Group Co., Limited Announces the Appointment of Mr. Hu Zaixin as Executive Director

Now 25% overvalued

Poly Property Group Co., Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Final Results on Mar 21, 2024

Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Now 22% overvalued

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Now 27% overvalued

What Is Poly Property Group Co., Limited's (HKG:119) Share Price Doing?

Poly Property Group Co., Limited Announces Resignation of Mr. Wang Jian as Managing Director

Is Poly Property Group (HKG:119) A Risky Investment?

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.17 (vs CN¥0.34 in 1H 2022)

Poly Property Group Co., Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 28, 2023

New minor risk - Dividend sustainability

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.048 per share at 2.5% yield

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19%

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: HK$0.22 (vs HK$0.67 in FY 2021)

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119)

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: HK$0.41 (vs HK$0.45 in 1H 2021)

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Poly Property Group Co., Limited Approves Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2021, Payable on 27 July 2022

A Look At The Fair Value Of Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119)

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.14 per share

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS: HK$0.67 (vs HK$0.51 in FY 2020)

Poly Property Group (HKG:119) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Poly Property Group (HKG:119) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At HK$0.14

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Poly Property Group Co., Limited Announces Retirement of Xue Ming as Director

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119)

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119)

Deputy GM & Executive Director Weirong Zhu has left the company

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS HK$0.45 (vs HK$0.23 in 1H 2020)

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS HK$0.45 (vs HK$0.23 in 1H 2020)

Calculating The Fair Value Of Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119)

Poly Property Group Co., Limited Provides Group Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2021

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.13 per share

Independent Non-Executive Director Shu Kwan Choy has left the company

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS HK$0.51 (vs HK$1.05 in FY 2019)

Poly Property Group (HKG:119) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS HK$0.51 (vs HK$1.05 in FY 2019)

New 90-day high: HK$2.50

Poly Property Group Co., Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Final Results on Mar 26, 2021

A Look At Poly Property Group's (HKG:119) Share Price Returns

Poly Property Group Co., Limited Announces Retirement of Mr. Han Qingtao as Vice-Chairman of the Board and Executive Director

Vice Chairman Qingtao Han has left the company

Is Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119) At Risk Of Cutting Its Dividend?

What Kind Of Shareholders Hold The Majority In Poly Property Group Co., Limited's (HKG:119) Shares?

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119)

If You Had Bought Poly Property Group's (HKG:119) Shares Three Years Ago You Would Be Down 47%