Hang Lung Properties (SEHK:101) Stock Valuation, Peer Comparison & Price Targets

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 101 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 101 (HK$6.41) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$0.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 101 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 101?

Key metric: As 101 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 101. This is calculated by dividing 101's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 101's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	11.6x
Earnings	HK$2.64b
Market Cap	HK$30.57b

101 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	7.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	13.6x
PEG Ratio	0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 101's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 101 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	16.3x
2602 Onewo	13.7x	12.9%	HK$25.9b
10 Hang Lung Group	6.8x	n/a	HK$13.8b
6049 Poly Property Services	10.9x	10.3%	HK$17.3b
1997 Wharf Real Estate Investment	33.8x	23.1%	HK$64.5b
101 Hang Lung Properties	11.6x	13.2%	HK$30.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 101 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the peer average (16.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 101's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

6 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
29 Dynamic Holdings	0.3x	n/a	US$229.68m
2768 Jiayuan International Group	1.4x	31.6%	US$151.18m
3883 China Aoyuan Group	0.07x	n/a	US$151.00m
2117 Datang Group Holdings	1.2x	n/a	US$87.18m

6 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 101 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (7.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 101's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

101 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	11.6x
Fair PE Ratio	11.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 101 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 101 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	HK$6.41	HK$7.71 +20.2%	21.0%	HK$10.50	HK$5.30	n/a	14
Nov ’25	HK$6.71	HK$7.71 +14.8%	21.0%	HK$10.50	HK$5.30	n/a	14
Oct ’25	HK$7.59	HK$7.19 -5.3%	20.0%	HK$10.20	HK$5.30	n/a	14
Sep ’25	HK$5.96	HK$7.37 +23.7%	24.2%	HK$11.60	HK$5.30	n/a	15
Aug ’25	HK$5.60	HK$7.37 +31.6%	24.2%	HK$11.60	HK$5.30	n/a	15
Jul ’25	HK$6.66	HK$11.57 +73.7%	16.1%	HK$14.00	HK$8.00	n/a	15
Jun ’25	HK$7.13	HK$11.57 +62.3%	16.1%	HK$14.00	HK$8.00	n/a	15
May ’25	HK$8.71	HK$11.98 +37.5%	17.0%	HK$16.80	HK$8.00	n/a	15
Apr ’25	HK$8.02	HK$12.08 +50.6%	15.4%	HK$16.80	HK$9.00	n/a	15
Mar ’25	HK$8.48	HK$12.08 +42.4%	15.4%	HK$16.80	HK$9.00	n/a	15
Feb ’25	HK$9.10	HK$12.52 +37.6%	15.4%	HK$16.80	HK$9.00	n/a	15
Jan ’25	HK$10.88	HK$15.35 +41.1%	17.2%	HK$19.60	HK$10.00	n/a	15
Dec ’24	HK$10.50	HK$15.39 +46.5%	16.8%	HK$19.60	HK$10.00	n/a	15
Nov ’24	HK$10.50	HK$15.39 +46.5%	16.8%	HK$19.60	HK$10.00	HK$6.71	15
Oct ’24	HK$10.72	HK$16.09 +50.1%	13.2%	HK$19.60	HK$11.50	HK$7.59	14
Sep ’24	HK$10.48	HK$16.42 +56.6%	10.4%	HK$19.60	HK$14.00	HK$5.96	14
Aug ’24	HK$11.30	HK$16.49 +45.9%	9.8%	HK$19.60	HK$14.30	HK$5.60	14
Jul ’24	HK$12.10	HK$17.91 +48.0%	10.9%	HK$22.00	HK$15.00	HK$6.66	14
Jun ’24	HK$12.44	HK$18.16 +46.0%	10.4%	HK$22.00	HK$15.00	HK$7.13	14
May ’24	HK$14.32	HK$18.68 +30.4%	9.7%	HK$22.00	HK$16.00	HK$8.71	13
Apr ’24	HK$14.68	HK$18.72 +27.5%	9.7%	HK$22.00	HK$16.00	HK$8.02	13
Mar ’24	HK$15.56	HK$18.77 +20.7%	9.4%	HK$22.00	HK$16.00	HK$8.48	14
Feb ’24	HK$15.18	HK$19.24 +26.7%	14.1%	HK$26.70	HK$15.00	HK$9.10	15
Jan ’24	HK$15.26	HK$18.49 +21.2%	19.8%	HK$26.70	HK$13.40	HK$10.88	15
Dec ’23	HK$14.42	HK$18.63 +29.2%	19.6%	HK$26.70	HK$13.40	HK$10.50	15
Nov ’23	HK$9.96	HK$19.41 +94.9%	16.5%	HK$26.70	HK$14.00	HK$10.50	15

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Hang Lung Properties Valuation