Stock Analysis

Positive Sentiment Still Eludes Viva Biotech Holdings (HKG:1873) Following 27% Share Price Slump

SEHK:1873
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Viva Biotech Holdings (HKG:1873) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 62% share price decline.

After such a large drop in price, when around half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Life Sciences industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 6.6x, you may consider Viva Biotech Holdings as an incredibly enticing stock to check out with its 0.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Viva Biotech Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1873 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 19th 2024

How Viva Biotech Holdings Has Been Performing

Revenue has risen firmly for Viva Biotech Holdings recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. Those who are bullish on Viva Biotech Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Viva Biotech Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Viva Biotech Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

Viva Biotech Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 10%. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, even though the last 12 month performance was only fair. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 21%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Viva Biotech Holdings' P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Viva Biotech Holdings' P/S

Viva Biotech Holdings' P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Viva Biotech Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Viva Biotech Holdings (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Viva Biotech Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Viva Biotech Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.