Stock Analysis

Slammed 28% Genscript Biotech Corporation (HKG:1548) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch

SEHK:1548
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Genscript Biotech Corporation (HKG:1548) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 52% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Genscript Biotech's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Life Sciences industry is similar at about 2.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Genscript Biotech

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1548 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 5th 2024

What Does Genscript Biotech's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

There hasn't been much to differentiate Genscript Biotech's and the industry's revenue growth lately. The P/S ratio is probably moderate because investors think this modest revenue performance will continue. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this can at least be maintained so that you could pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Genscript Biotech.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Genscript Biotech's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 34% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 115% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 48% per annum as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 16% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's curious that Genscript Biotech's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Following Genscript Biotech's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Looking at Genscript Biotech's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Genscript Biotech you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.