Stock Analysis

Genscript Biotech (HKG:1548) adds HK$983m to market cap in the past 7 days, though investors from three years ago are still down 72%

SEHK:1548
Source: Shutterstock

As every investor would know, not every swing hits the sweet spot. But you have a problem if you face massive losses more than once in a while. So take a moment to sympathize with the long term shareholders of Genscript Biotech Corporation (HKG:1548), who have seen the share price tank a massive 72% over a three year period. That'd be enough to cause even the strongest minds some disquiet. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 44% in a year. Even worse, it's down 8.0% in about a month, which isn't fun at all. But this could be related to poor market conditions -- stocks are down 4.6% in the same time.

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last three years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

Check out our latest analysis for Genscript Biotech

Given that Genscript Biotech didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

In the last three years, Genscript Biotech saw its revenue grow by 26% per year, compound. That is faster than most pre-profit companies. So why has the share priced crashed 20% per year, in the same time? The share price makes us wonder if there is an issue with profitability. Ultimately, revenue growth doesn't amount to much if the business can't scale well. If the company is low on cash, it may have to raise capital soon.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1548 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 6th 2024

Genscript Biotech is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. If you are thinking of buying or selling Genscript Biotech stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.

A Different Perspective

Genscript Biotech shareholders are down 44% for the year, but the market itself is up 23%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 7% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. If you would like to research Genscript Biotech in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.

We will like Genscript Biotech better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.