XD Inc.

SZSC:2400 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$11.7b

XD Valuation

Is 2400 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2400 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2400 (HK$24.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$44.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2400 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2400?

Key metric: As 2400 is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 2400. This is calculated by dividing 2400's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 2400's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.8x
SalesCN¥3.86b
Market CapCN¥10.89b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 2400's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 2400 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.1x
777 NetDragon Websoft Holdings
0.7x4.7%HK$5.3b
797 7Road Holdings
7.2xn/aHK$3.1b
9890 ZX
0.5xn/aHK$3.5b
3888 Kingsoft
4x13.5%HK$42.0b
2400 XD
2.8x14.6%HK$11.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 2400 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.8x) compared to the peer average (3.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 2400's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Entertainment Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
6860 FingerTango
0.3xn/aUS$24.64m
491 Emperor Culture Group
0.3xn/aUS$18.16m
1132 Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment (Holdings)
0.2xn/aUS$15.82m
571 eSun Holdings
0.07xn/aUS$10.38m
2400 2.8xIndustry Avg. 1.5xNo. of Companies10PS01.22.43.64.86+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 2400 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.8x) compared to the Hong Kong Entertainment industry average (1.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2400's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2400 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.8x
Fair PS Ratio2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 2400 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2400 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$24.25
HK$24.26
+0.04%
22.0%HK$35.36HK$14.99n/a9
Nov ’25HK$20.80
HK$24.26
+16.6%
22.0%HK$35.36HK$14.99n/a9
Oct ’25HK$25.50
HK$24.26
-4.9%
22.0%HK$35.36HK$14.99n/a9
Sep ’25HK$19.84
HK$23.28
+17.3%
27.1%HK$35.59HK$14.14n/a8
Aug ’25HK$23.55
HK$20.15
-14.4%
29.4%HK$35.02HK$13.91n/a8
Jul ’25HK$18.82
HK$19.13
+1.7%
30.5%HK$34.91HK$14.95n/a9
Jun ’25HK$19.58
HK$18.97
-3.1%
31.8%HK$35.01HK$13.20n/a9
May ’25HK$14.82
HK$18.94
+27.8%
31.3%HK$34.70HK$13.20n/a9
Apr ’25HK$15.90
HK$19.77
+24.4%
33.5%HK$34.75HK$11.53n/a9
Mar ’25HK$14.32
HK$21.75
+51.9%
31.9%HK$34.87HK$11.57n/a9
Feb ’25HK$9.62
HK$23.06
+139.7%
33.0%HK$34.95HK$11.59n/a10
Jan ’25HK$10.20
HK$25.14
+146.5%
23.4%HK$35.74HK$15.50n/a10
Dec ’24HK$13.34
HK$25.14
+88.4%
23.4%HK$35.74HK$15.50n/a10
Nov ’24HK$11.94
HK$27.74
+132.3%
28.4%HK$46.44HK$20.83HK$20.8010
Oct ’24HK$14.20
HK$27.74
+95.4%
28.4%HK$46.44HK$20.83HK$25.5010
Sep ’24HK$17.28
HK$28.91
+67.3%
26.3%HK$46.82HK$21.01HK$19.8410
Aug ’24HK$18.20
HK$32.35
+77.8%
17.4%HK$47.18HK$25.01HK$23.5510
Jul ’24HK$19.70
HK$32.52
+65.1%
16.8%HK$47.94HK$27.00HK$18.8211
Jun ’24HK$20.65
HK$33.06
+60.1%
16.6%HK$48.28HK$27.20HK$19.5811
May ’24HK$24.70
HK$33.80
+36.9%
16.6%HK$49.54HK$27.90HK$14.8211
Apr ’24HK$26.95
HK$32.88
+22.0%
18.0%HK$49.52HK$27.89HK$15.9010
Mar ’24HK$26.40
HK$31.86
+20.7%
22.7%HK$50.29HK$20.54HK$14.3210
Feb ’24HK$27.60
HK$31.86
+15.4%
22.7%HK$50.29HK$20.54HK$9.6210
Jan ’24HK$21.60
HK$31.87
+47.5%
24.7%HK$48.12HK$19.79HK$10.209
Dec ’23HK$20.30
HK$31.16
+53.5%
25.2%HK$46.22HK$19.01HK$13.348
Nov ’23HK$14.50
HK$30.73
+111.9%
25.1%HK$46.58HK$19.16HK$11.949

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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