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Some Confidence Is Lacking In Litian Pictures Holdings Limited's (HKG:9958) P/S
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Entertainment industry in Hong Kong have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.6x, Litian Pictures Holdings Limited (HKG:9958) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
View our latest analysis for Litian Pictures Holdings
How Has Litian Pictures Holdings Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Litian Pictures Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Litian Pictures Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Litian Pictures Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 50%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 82% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 48% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Litian Pictures Holdings is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Litian Pictures Holdings' P/S?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Litian Pictures Holdings revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Litian Pictures Holdings (including 2 which make us uncomfortable).
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:9958
Litian Pictures Holdings
A drama series distribution company, develops, markets, and distributes films and television (TV) dramas in the People’s Republic of China.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.