Stock Analysis

Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings' (HKG:423) Dividend Will Be Increased To HK$0.06

SEHK:423
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Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKG:423) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 3rd of September to HK$0.06. This takes the dividend yield from 6.6% to 6.6%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

View our latest analysis for Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings

Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Before making this announcement, Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings' dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.

Looking forward, EPS could fall by 11.7% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 126%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.

historic-dividend
SEHK:423 Historic Dividend August 6th 2021

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from HK$0.13 in 2011 to the most recent annual payment of HK$0.08. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 4.7% per year. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings' earnings per share has shrunk at 12% a year over the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing. We have also put together a list of global stocks with a solid dividend.

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