Stock Analysis

Doumob (HKG:1917) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

SEHK:1917
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. Indeed, Doumob (HKG:1917) stock is up 198% in the last year, providing strong gains for shareholders. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

So notwithstanding the buoyant share price, we think it's well worth asking whether Doumob's cash burn is too risky. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

View our latest analysis for Doumob

Does Doumob Have A Long Cash Runway?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. As at December 2022, Doumob had cash of CN¥42m and no debt. In the last year, its cash burn was CN¥20m. So it had a cash runway of about 2.1 years from December 2022. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1917 Debt to Equity History May 23rd 2023

How Well Is Doumob Growing?

Doumob managed to reduce its cash burn by 68% over the last twelve months, which suggests it's on the right flight path. But it was a bit disconcerting to see operating revenue down 44% in that time. On balance, we'd say the company is improving over time. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. This graph of historic earnings and revenue shows how Doumob is building its business over time.

How Hard Would It Be For Doumob To Raise More Cash For Growth?

Doumob seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Doumob has a market capitalisation of CN¥377m and burnt through CN¥20m last year, which is 5.2% of the company's market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

How Risky Is Doumob's Cash Burn Situation?

Even though its falling revenue makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Doumob's cash burn reduction was relatively promising. Based on the factors mentioned in this article, we think its cash burn situation warrants some attention from shareholders, but we don't think they should be worried. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 3 warning signs for Doumob (of which 2 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.