Stock Analysis

NOVA Group Holdings (HKG:1360) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

SEHK:1360
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, NOVA Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1360) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for NOVA Group Holdings

What Is NOVA Group Holdings's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, NOVA Group Holdings had HK$43.9m of debt, up from HK$40.5m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$2.40m, its net debt is less, at about HK$41.5m.

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SEHK:1360 Debt to Equity History October 2nd 2023

How Healthy Is NOVA Group Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that NOVA Group Holdings had liabilities of HK$58.1m due within 12 months and no liabilities due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$2.40m and HK$177.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast HK$121.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This luscious liquidity implies that NOVA Group Holdings' balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is NOVA Group Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year NOVA Group Holdings had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 63%, to HK$41m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While NOVA Group Holdings's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable HK$355m at the EBIT level. That said, we're impressed with the strong balance sheet liquidity. That should give the business time to grow its cashflow. The company is risky because it will grow into the future to get to profitability and free cash flow. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example NOVA Group Holdings has 4 warning signs (and 3 which are significant) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.