Stock Analysis

Is Transmit Entertainment (HKG:1326) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

SEHK:1326
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Transmit Entertainment Limited (HKG:1326) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Transmit Entertainment

How Much Debt Does Transmit Entertainment Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Transmit Entertainment had debt of HK$164.0m at the end of June 2022, a reduction from HK$351.7m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$105.9m, its net debt is less, at about HK$58.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1326 Debt to Equity History September 29th 2022

A Look At Transmit Entertainment's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Transmit Entertainment had liabilities of HK$600.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$264.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$105.9m as well as receivables valued at HK$155.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$604.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$231.0m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Transmit Entertainment would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Transmit Entertainment will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Transmit Entertainment reported revenue of HK$704m, which is a gain of 54%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate Transmit Entertainment's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$41m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely since it is low on liquid assets, and made a loss of HK$92m in the last year. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Transmit Entertainment you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.