Stock Analysis

Kuaishou Technology's (HKG:1024) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

SEHK:1024
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When close to half the companies in the Interactive Media and Services industry in Hong Kong have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, you may consider Kuaishou Technology (HKG:1024) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Kuaishou Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1024 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 24th 2024

What Does Kuaishou Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Kuaishou Technology as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Kuaishou Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Kuaishou Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?

Kuaishou Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 20%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 93% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 12% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 10% each year, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's curious that Kuaishou Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Given Kuaishou Technology's future revenue forecasts are in line with the wider industry, the fact that it trades at an elevated P/S is somewhat surprising. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Kuaishou Technology with six simple checks.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Kuaishou Technology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.