Stock Analysis

Some Investors May Be Worried About Mongolian Mining's (HKG:975) Returns On Capital

SEHK:975
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When it comes to investing, there are some useful financial metrics that can warn us when a business is potentially in trouble. More often than not, we'll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. This indicates the company is producing less profit from its investments and its total assets are decreasing. So after we looked into Mongolian Mining (HKG:975), the trends above didn't look too great.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Mongolian Mining:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.047 = US$70m ÷ (US$1.8b - US$328m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

So, Mongolian Mining has an ROCE of 4.7%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Metals and Mining industry average of 8.0%.

View our latest analysis for Mongolian Mining

roce
SEHK:975 Return on Capital Employed May 31st 2023

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Mongolian Mining's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Mongolian Mining, check out these free graphs here.

SWOT Analysis for Mongolian Mining

Strength
  • Debt is well covered by cash flow.
Weakness
  • Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
Opportunity
  • Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
  • Lack of analyst coverage makes it difficult to determine 975's earnings prospects.
Threat
  • No apparent threats visible for 975.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

There is reason to be cautious about Mongolian Mining, given the returns are trending downwards. To be more specific, the ROCE was 8.8% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Mongolian Mining becoming one if things continue as they have.

What We Can Learn From Mongolian Mining's ROCE

All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. Investors must expect better things on the horizon though because the stock has risen 22% in the last five years. Regardless, we don't like the trends as they are and if they persist, we think you might find better investments elsewhere.

If you want to continue researching Mongolian Mining, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.