Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited

SEHK:914 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$117.8b

Anhui Conch Cement Valuation

Is 914 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 914 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 914 (HK$16.28) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$17.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 914 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 914?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

914 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA3.8x
PEG Ratio2.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 914's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 914 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.7x
3323 China National Building Material
6.7x33.5%HK$22.9b
1252 China Tianrui Group Cement
104.3xn/aHK$16.2b
1313 China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings
12x25.9%HK$8.6b
2233 West China Cement
12x52.6%HK$5.5b
914 Anhui Conch Cement
7.6x3.3%HK$117.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 914 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the peer average (33.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 914's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Basic Materials Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 914 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the Asian Basic Materials industry average (16.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 914's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

914 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.6x
Fair PE Ratio8.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 914 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 914 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$16.28
HK$22.33
+37.2%
19.2%HK$28.95HK$13.98n/a14
Mar ’25HK$17.18
HK$24.09
+40.2%
22.0%HK$33.57HK$13.96n/a14
Feb ’25HK$15.52
HK$24.09
+55.2%
22.0%HK$33.58HK$13.97n/a14
Jan ’25HK$18.04
HK$26.05
+44.4%
18.9%HK$33.95HK$14.37n/a15
Dec ’24HK$18.14
HK$26.23
+44.6%
19.1%HK$33.55HK$14.20n/a15
Nov ’24HK$19.36
HK$26.89
+38.9%
14.6%HK$32.99HK$20.00n/a15
Oct ’24HK$20.85
HK$28.27
+35.6%
16.0%HK$37.31HK$21.67n/a14
Sep ’24HK$21.80
HK$28.81
+32.1%
15.1%HK$37.72HK$21.90n/a15
Aug ’24HK$22.45
HK$31.65
+41.0%
18.2%HK$43.02HK$20.57n/a15
Jul ’24HK$20.80
HK$31.67
+52.3%
17.6%HK$42.77HK$20.45n/a16
Jun ’24HK$21.10
HK$33.24
+57.5%
16.7%HK$44.03HK$24.34n/a17
May ’24HK$24.70
HK$36.18
+46.5%
32.0%HK$78.56HK$24.76n/a18
Apr ’24HK$27.20
HK$37.41
+37.5%
31.4%HK$78.97HK$21.04n/a18
Mar ’24HK$29.75
HK$36.69
+23.3%
35.7%HK$79.17HK$21.09HK$17.1818
Feb ’24HK$30.10
HK$37.29
+23.9%
36.3%HK$80.42HK$21.43HK$15.5218
Jan ’24HK$27.30
HK$37.21
+36.3%
34.4%HK$77.65HK$25.10HK$18.0418
Dec ’23HK$27.90
HK$36.60
+31.2%
34.3%HK$76.31HK$24.73HK$18.1418
Nov ’23HK$21.35
HK$35.74
+67.4%
35.1%HK$74.77HK$22.64HK$19.3619
Oct ’23HK$24.90
HK$41.49
+66.6%
31.4%HK$74.08HK$24.41HK$20.8518
Sep ’23HK$30.50
HK$42.02
+37.8%
27.8%HK$67.65HK$24.87HK$21.8017
Aug ’23HK$30.45
HK$44.18
+45.1%
24.7%HK$69.92HK$25.00HK$22.4518
Jul ’23HK$34.00
HK$46.08
+35.5%
24.2%HK$69.42HK$28.00HK$20.8018
Jun ’23HK$40.50
HK$51.25
+26.5%
19.0%HK$69.58HK$37.79HK$21.1017
May ’23HK$42.90
HK$51.57
+20.2%
18.0%HK$70.00HK$38.15HK$24.7017
Apr ’23HK$41.15
HK$52.38
+27.3%
18.0%HK$70.38HK$39.69HK$27.2019
Mar ’23HK$42.00
HK$53.75
+28.0%
17.4%HK$72.00HK$40.07HK$29.7520

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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