China National Building Material Valuation
Is 3323 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 3323 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 3323 (HK$3.31) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$14.71)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 3323 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3323?
Key metric: As 3323 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 3323's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 31.5x |
| Earnings | CN¥825.42m |
| Market Cap | CN¥25.99b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.3x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 10.5x |
| PEG Ratio | 0.5x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 3323's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 28x | ||
1313 China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings | 37.8x | 52.7% | HK$12.8b |
2233 West China Cement | 27.4x | 59.0% | HK$8.1b |
914 Anhui Conch Cement | 14.1x | 9.8% | HK$135.1b |
2450 Huaibei GreenGold Industry Investment | 32.5x | n/a | HK$467.3m |
3323 China National Building Material | 31.5x | 65.3% | HK$27.9b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3323 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.5x) compared to the peer average (28x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 3323's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Basic Materials Industry?
| 1 Company | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Company | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3323 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.5x) compared to the Asian Basic Materials industry average (16.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 3323's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 31.5x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 31.1x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3323 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.1x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | HK$3.31 | HK$3.64 +10.0% | 27.7% | HK$5.92 | HK$2.00 | n/a | 11 |
| Nov ’25 | HK$3.31 | HK$3.53 +6.7% | 31.3% | HK$6.01 | HK$1.98 | n/a | 11 |
| Oct ’25 | HK$3.42 | HK$3.14 -8.3% | 22.6% | HK$4.13 | HK$2.01 | n/a | 11 |
| Sep ’25 | HK$2.25 | HK$3.47 +54.0% | 28.2% | HK$5.62 | HK$2.00 | n/a | 11 |
| Aug ’25 | HK$2.51 | HK$4.06 +61.7% | 19.0% | HK$5.51 | HK$3.07 | n/a | 11 |
| Jul ’25 | HK$2.80 | HK$4.10 +46.5% | 18.0% | HK$5.49 | HK$3.06 | n/a | 11 |
| Jun ’25 | HK$3.13 | HK$4.51 +44.2% | 29.9% | HK$7.83 | HK$3.07 | n/a | 11 |
| May ’25 | HK$3.05 | HK$4.75 +55.9% | 29.7% | HK$7.84 | HK$3.08 | n/a | 10 |
| Apr ’25 | HK$2.69 | HK$4.85 +80.5% | 25.9% | HK$7.86 | HK$3.08 | n/a | 11 |
| Mar ’25 | HK$2.96 | HK$4.96 +67.5% | 25.7% | HK$7.90 | HK$3.10 | n/a | 10 |
| Feb ’25 | HK$2.76 | HK$4.96 +79.7% | 25.7% | HK$7.90 | HK$3.10 | n/a | 10 |
| Jan ’25 | HK$3.34 | HK$5.45 +63.2% | 21.6% | HK$7.98 | HK$4.11 | n/a | 11 |
| Dec ’24 | HK$3.50 | HK$5.55 +58.7% | 25.7% | HK$9.25 | HK$4.01 | n/a | 11 |
| Nov ’24 | HK$3.73 | HK$5.72 +53.2% | 27.8% | HK$9.23 | HK$4.00 | HK$3.31 | 11 |
| Oct ’24 | HK$4.11 | HK$6.65 +61.9% | 26.7% | HK$10.05 | HK$4.43 | HK$3.42 | 11 |
| Sep ’24 | HK$3.99 | HK$7.14 +79.0% | 26.7% | HK$11.04 | HK$4.46 | HK$2.25 | 13 |
| Aug ’24 | HK$4.80 | HK$8.51 +77.4% | 26.2% | HK$13.50 | HK$5.29 | HK$2.51 | 12 |
| Jul ’24 | HK$4.82 | HK$8.53 +77.0% | 20.9% | HK$12.89 | HK$6.72 | HK$2.80 | 13 |
| Jun ’24 | HK$4.42 | HK$9.02 +104.2% | 22.3% | HK$13.16 | HK$6.86 | HK$3.13 | 14 |
| May ’24 | HK$5.86 | HK$9.49 +62.0% | 22.6% | HK$13.44 | HK$7.00 | HK$3.05 | 15 |
| Apr ’24 | HK$6.44 | HK$10.00 +55.2% | 19.7% | HK$14.17 | HK$7.26 | HK$2.69 | 16 |
| Mar ’24 | HK$7.25 | HK$9.95 +37.3% | 23.6% | HK$14.30 | HK$7.33 | HK$2.96 | 15 |
| Feb ’24 | HK$7.32 | HK$10.06 +37.5% | 24.0% | HK$14.93 | HK$7.35 | HK$2.76 | 15 |
| Jan ’24 | HK$6.41 | HK$10.06 +56.9% | 28.2% | HK$15.14 | HK$6.69 | HK$3.34 | 15 |
| Dec ’23 | HK$6.80 | HK$9.78 +43.8% | 28.0% | HK$14.73 | HK$6.51 | HK$3.50 | 15 |
| Nov ’23 | HK$5.00 | HK$9.63 +92.6% | 31.1% | HK$14.67 | HK$5.36 | HK$3.73 | 15 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
Discover undervalued companies
Aluminum Corporation of China
HK$127.3b
Primarily engages in the exploration and mining of bauxite, coal, and other resources in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
2600
HK$4.73
7D
-3.9%
1Y
19.7%
Aluminum Corporation of China
HK$127.3b
Primarily engages in the exploration and mining of bauxite, coal, and other resources in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
2600
HK$4.73
7D
-3.9%
1Y
19.7%
China Hongqiao Group
HK$110.1b
An investment holding company, manufactures and sells aluminum products in the People's Republic of China and Indonesia.
1378
HK$11.62
7D
-0.9%
1Y
80.4%