CPMC Holdings Valuation

Is 906 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 906 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 906 (HK$6.89) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$3.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 906 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 906?

Key metric: As 906 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 906. This is calculated by dividing 906's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 906's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.2x
EarningsCN¥468.42m
Market CapCN¥7.14b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 906's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 906 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.7x
6898 China Aluminum Cans Holdings
26.7xn/aHK$545.3m
8659 Yik Wo International Holdings
11xn/aHK$419.2m
252 Southeast Asia Properties & Finance
22.7xn/aHK$383.2m
1451 MS Group Holdings
6.5xn/aHK$170.0m
906 CPMC Holdings
15.2xn/aHK$7.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 906 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the peer average (16.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 906's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Packaging Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
906 15.2xIndustry Avg. 17.7xNo. of Companies38PE01224364860+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 906 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the Asian Packaging industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 906's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

906 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 906's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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