Stock Analysis
Tianjin TEDA Biomedical Engineering Company Limited (HKG:8189) Stock Rockets 38% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Tianjin TEDA Biomedical Engineering Company Limited (HKG:8189) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 38% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last month tops off a massive increase of 190% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Tianjin TEDA Biomedical Engineering is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.1x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Check out our latest analysis for Tianjin TEDA Biomedical Engineering
How Tianjin TEDA Biomedical Engineering Has Been Performing
Tianjin TEDA Biomedical Engineering has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Tianjin TEDA Biomedical Engineering, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Tianjin TEDA Biomedical Engineering would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 10% gain to the company's revenues. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 5.0% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 5.5% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Tianjin TEDA Biomedical Engineering's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Tianjin TEDA Biomedical Engineering's P/S?
The large bounce in Tianjin TEDA Biomedical Engineering's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Tianjin TEDA Biomedical Engineering revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Tianjin TEDA Biomedical Engineering (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Tianjin TEDA Biomedical Engineering might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:8189
Tianjin TEDA Biomedical Engineering
Engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of biological compound fertilizer products in the People’s Republic of China.