Here's What's Concerning About Tiande Chemical Holdings (HKG:609)
What financial metrics can indicate to us that a company is maturing or even in decline? Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. On that note, looking into Tiande Chemical Holdings (HKG:609), we weren't too upbeat about how things were going.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Tiande Chemical Holdings:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.052 = CN¥71m ÷ (CN¥1.9b - CN¥528m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).
Therefore, Tiande Chemical Holdings has an ROCE of 5.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Chemicals industry average of 11%.
Check out our latest analysis for Tiande Chemical Holdings
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Tiande Chemical Holdings has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of Tiande Chemical Holdings' historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 19% that they were earning five years ago. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Tiande Chemical Holdings to turn into a multi-bagger.
On a side note, Tiande Chemical Holdings' current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 28% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. While the ratio isn't currently too high, it's worth keeping an eye on this because if it gets particularly high, the business could then face some new elements of risk.The Bottom Line On Tiande Chemical Holdings' ROCE
In summary, it's unfortunate that Tiande Chemical Holdings is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 37% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
One final note, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Tiande Chemical Holdings (including 1 which is is a bit concerning) .
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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About SEHK:609
Tiande Chemical Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sells fine chemical products in the People’s Republic of China, India, Switzerland, the United States, Spain, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.