Stock Analysis

Does Tiande Chemical Holdings (HKG:609) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:609
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Tiande Chemical Holdings Limited (HKG:609) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Tiande Chemical Holdings

How Much Debt Does Tiande Chemical Holdings Carry?

As you can see below, Tiande Chemical Holdings had CN¥220.8m of debt at December 2020, down from CN¥238.5m a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥125.3m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥95.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:609 Debt to Equity History April 15th 2021

How Strong Is Tiande Chemical Holdings' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Tiande Chemical Holdings had liabilities of CN¥516.3m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥19.7m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥125.3m in cash and CN¥251.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥159.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Tiande Chemical Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥473.3m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 0.68 and interest cover of 2.7 times, it seems to us that Tiande Chemical Holdings is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Importantly, Tiande Chemical Holdings's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 43% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Tiande Chemical Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last two years, Tiande Chemical Holdings reported free cash flow worth 5.5% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Tiande Chemical Holdings's EBIT growth rate was disappointing. But on the bright side, its net debt to EBITDA is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Tiande Chemical Holdings has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Tiande Chemical Holdings (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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