China Oriental Group Company Limited

SEHK:581 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$4.4b

China Oriental Group Valuation

Is 581 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 581 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 581 (HK$1.18) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$0.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 581 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 581?

Key metric: As 581 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 581. This is calculated by dividing 581's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 581's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.09x
SalesCN¥46.77b
Market CapCN¥4.09b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 581's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 581 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.3x
826 Tiangong International
1x5.3%HK$5.5b
1116 Mayer Holdings
2.8xn/aHK$1.8b
3788 China Hanking Holdings
0.5xn/aHK$1.6b
2798 Perennial Energy Holdings
0.8xn/aHK$1.7b
581 China Oriental Group
0.09xn/aHK$4.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 581 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 581's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Metals and Mining Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.5x7.6%
581 China Oriental Group
0.09xn/aUS$564.37m
358 Jiangxi Copper
0.08x7.1%US$8.59b
323 Maanshan Iron & Steel
0.1x-0.9%US$2.23b
581 0.1xIndustry Avg. 0.5xNo. of Companies14PS00.40.81.21.62+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.5x21.7%
581 China Oriental Group
0.09xn/aUS$564.37m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 581 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the Hong Kong Metals and Mining industry average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 581's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

581 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.09x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 581's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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