Returns At Greatview Aseptic Packaging (HKG:468) Appear To Be Weighed Down
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at Greatview Aseptic Packaging (HKG:468), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Greatview Aseptic Packaging, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.18 = CN¥466m ÷ (CN¥3.6b - CN¥1.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Thus, Greatview Aseptic Packaging has an ROCE of 18%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Packaging industry average of 6.7% it's much better.
View our latest analysis for Greatview Aseptic Packaging
In the above chart we have measured Greatview Aseptic Packaging's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Greatview Aseptic Packaging here for free.
What Can We Tell From Greatview Aseptic Packaging's ROCE Trend?
Over the past five years, Greatview Aseptic Packaging's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. So unless we see a substantial change at Greatview Aseptic Packaging in terms of ROCE and additional investments being made, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger. On top of that you'll notice that Greatview Aseptic Packaging has been paying out a large portion (86%) of earnings in the form of dividends to shareholders. These mature businesses typically have reliable earnings and not many places to reinvest them, so the next best option is to put the earnings into shareholders pockets.
The Bottom Line On Greatview Aseptic Packaging's ROCE
In a nutshell, Greatview Aseptic Packaging has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 46% over the last five years. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
If you want to continue researching Greatview Aseptic Packaging, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:468
Greatview Aseptic Packaging
An investment holding company, provides packaging solutions to the liquid food industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.