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- SEHK:3833
Some Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co., Ltd. (HKG:3833) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 26% Pounding
The Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co., Ltd. (HKG:3833) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 152% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 40.5x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 12x and even P/E's lower than 7x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry
How Is Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 18%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 87% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 21% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:3833
Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry
Engages in mining, ore processing, smelting, refining, and selling of nickel, copper, and other nonferrous metals.
Excellent balance sheet with low risk.
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