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Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Tongguan Gold Group (HKG:340)
Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Tongguan Gold Group Limited's (HKG:340) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.
In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Tongguan Gold Group issued 8.0% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Tongguan Gold Group's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
A Look At The Impact Of Tongguan Gold Group's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)
As you can see above, Tongguan Gold Group has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 369% over three years. In comparison, earnings per share only gained 285% over the same period. And at a glance the 257% gain in profit over the last year impresses. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 248% in that time. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.
Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Tongguan Gold Group can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Tongguan Gold Group's Profit Performance
Each Tongguan Gold Group share now gets a meaningfully smaller slice of its overall profit, due to dilution of existing shareholders. Because of this, we think that it may be that Tongguan Gold Group's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Ultimately, this article has formed an opinion based on historical data. However, it can also be great to think about what analysts are forecasting for the future. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Tongguan Gold Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Tongguan Gold Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:340
Tongguan Gold Group
An investment holding company, engages in the exploration, mining, processing, smelting, and sale of gold and related products in China.
Exceptional growth potential with solid track record.
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