Stock Analysis

Zijin Mining Group (HKG:2899) shareholders have earned a 45% CAGR over the last five years

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SEHK:2899

Buying shares in the best businesses can build meaningful wealth for you and your family. And highest quality companies can see their share prices grow by huge amounts. Don't believe it? Then look at the Zijin Mining Group Company Limited (HKG:2899) share price. It's 451% higher than it was five years ago. And this is just one example of the epic gains achieved by some long term investors. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 55% gain in the last three months.

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

See our latest analysis for Zijin Mining Group

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, Zijin Mining Group achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 35% per year. So the EPS growth rate is rather close to the annualized share price gain of 41% per year. Therefore one could conclude that sentiment towards the shares hasn't morphed very much. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

SEHK:2899 Earnings Per Share Growth April 21st 2024

It is of course excellent to see how Zijin Mining Group has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. If you are thinking of buying or selling Zijin Mining Group stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Zijin Mining Group's TSR for the last 5 years was 533%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Zijin Mining Group has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 35% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 45% per year, is even more impressive. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Zijin Mining Group better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Zijin Mining Group .

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zijin Mining Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.