Stock Analysis

E-Commodities Holdings (HKG:1733) Could Easily Take On More Debt

SEHK:1733
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies E-Commodities Holdings Limited (HKG:1733) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for E-Commodities Holdings

What Is E-Commodities Holdings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2021 E-Commodities Holdings had HK$2.51b of debt, an increase on HK$2.20b, over one year. However, it does have HK$2.19b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$323.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1733 Debt to Equity History December 22nd 2021

How Healthy Is E-Commodities Holdings' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that E-Commodities Holdings had liabilities of HK$5.26b due within a year, and liabilities of HK$312.9m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$2.19b and HK$2.22b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$1.17b.

E-Commodities Holdings has a market capitalization of HK$3.05b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

E-Commodities Holdings has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.23. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 14.5 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Even more impressive was the fact that E-Commodities Holdings grew its EBIT by 123% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is E-Commodities Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, E-Commodities Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Happily, E-Commodities Holdings's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that E-Commodities Holdings is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for E-Commodities Holdings (2 are significant) you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if E-Commodities Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:1733

E-Commodities Holdings

Engages in the processing and trading of coal and other products.

Flawless balance sheet and good value.

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