Stock Analysis

China Hongqiao Group's (HKG:1378) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

SEHK:1378
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China Hongqiao Group Limited (HKG:1378) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 26th of November to HK$0.45. This makes the dividend yield 9.2%, which is above the industry average.

View our latest analysis for China Hongqiao Group

China Hongqiao Group's Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, China Hongqiao Group was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 3.5%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 60% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
SEHK:1378 Historic Dividend August 23rd 2021

China Hongqiao Group's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

China Hongqiao Group has been paying dividends for a while, but the track record isn't stellar. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. The dividend has gone from CN¥0.26 in 2012 to the most recent annual payment of CN¥0.53. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 8.5% over that duration. We have seen cuts in the past, so while the growth looks promising we would be a little bit cautious about its track record.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. China Hongqiao Group has impressed us by growing EPS at 23% per year over the past five years. Earnings per share is growing at a solid clip, and the payout ratio is low which we think is an ideal combination in a dividend stock as the company can quite easily raise the dividend in the future.

China Hongqiao Group Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

Overall, a dividend increase is always good, and we think that China Hongqiao Group is a strong income stock thanks to its track record and growing earnings. The company is easily earning enough to cover its dividend payments and it is great to see that these earnings are being translated into cash flow. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 3 warning signs for China Hongqiao Group that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. We have also put together a list of global stocks with a solid dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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