Stock Analysis

GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s (HKG:1203) Dividend Will Be HK$0.015

SEHK:1203
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GDH Guangnan (Holdings) Limited (HKG:1203) will pay a dividend of HK$0.015 on the 15th of July. This payment means that the dividend yield will be 3.8%, which is around the industry average.

View our latest analysis for GDH Guangnan (Holdings)

GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This indicates that quite a large proportion of earnings is being invested back into the business.

Looking forward, EPS could fall by 13.0% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 47%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

historic-dividend
SEHK:1203 Historic Dividend April 1st 2022

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least 1 cut in the last 10 years. The first annual payment during the last 10 years was HK$0.045 in 2012, and the most recent fiscal year payment was HK$0.025. The dividend has shrunk at around 5.7% a year during that period. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS is growing. Earnings per share has been sinking by 13% over the last five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.

Our Thoughts On GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s Dividend

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We don't think GDH Guangnan (Holdings) is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 4 warning signs for GDH Guangnan (Holdings) (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is GDH Guangnan (Holdings) not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.