Stock Analysis

Green Future Food Hydrocolloid Marine Science (HKG:1084) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

SEHK:1084
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Green Future Food Hydrocolloid Marine Science Company Limited (HKG:1084) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Green Future Food Hydrocolloid Marine Science

What Is Green Future Food Hydrocolloid Marine Science's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2021, Green Future Food Hydrocolloid Marine Science had HK$616.4m of debt, up from HK$513.7m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$139.4m, its net debt is less, at about HK$477.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1084 Debt to Equity History April 29th 2022

How Healthy Is Green Future Food Hydrocolloid Marine Science's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Green Future Food Hydrocolloid Marine Science had liabilities of HK$703.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$134.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$139.4m as well as receivables valued at HK$178.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$519.6m.

Green Future Food Hydrocolloid Marine Science has a market capitalization of HK$1.87b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Green Future Food Hydrocolloid Marine Science's net debt of 2.3 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 7.3 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. Importantly, Green Future Food Hydrocolloid Marine Science grew its EBIT by 48% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Green Future Food Hydrocolloid Marine Science will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Green Future Food Hydrocolloid Marine Science saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Green Future Food Hydrocolloid Marine Science is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to grow its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Green Future Food Hydrocolloid Marine Science's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Green Future Food Hydrocolloid Marine Science (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.