China Golden Classic Group Limited

SEHK:8281 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$110.0m

China Golden Classic Group Valuation

Is 8281 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8281 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8281 (HK$0.11) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$3.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8281 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8281?

Key metric: As 8281 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8281. This is calculated by dividing 8281's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8281's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio55.4x
EarningsCN¥1.85m
Market CapCN¥102.34m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8281's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8281 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.4x
8436 Takbo Group Holdings
4.4xn/aHK$78.0m
932 Shunten International (Holdings)
125.2xn/aHK$71.5m
1338 BaWang International (Group) Holding
14.5xn/aHK$161.3m
1455 Fourace Industries Group Holdings
5.5xn/aHK$214.8m
8281 China Golden Classic Group
55.4xn/aHK$110.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8281 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55.4x) compared to the peer average (37.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8281's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Personal Products Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
8281 55.4xIndustry Avg. 25.2xNo. of Companies20PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8281 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55.4x) compared to the Asian Personal Products industry average (25.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8281's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8281 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio55.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 8281's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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