Blue Moon Group Holdings Limited

SEHK:6993 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$25.4b

Blue Moon Group Holdings Valuation

Is 6993 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6993 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6993 (HK$4.33) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$0.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6993 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6993?

Key metric: As 6993 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 6993. This is calculated by dividing 6993's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 6993's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.1x
SalesHK$8.23b
Market CapHK$25.39b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 6993's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 6993 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
6601 Cheerwin Group
1.4x10.1%HK$2.6b
2222 NVC International Holdings
0.3xn/aHK$487.0m
2023 China Ludao Technology
0.5xn/aHK$442.6m
1044 Hengan International Group
1.1x2.4%HK$26.6b
6993 Blue Moon Group Holdings
3.1x8.5%HK$25.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 6993 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 6993's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Household Products Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
6993 3.1xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies10PS012345+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 6993 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the Asian Household Products industry average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6993's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6993 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.1x
Fair PS Ratio1.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 6993 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6993 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$4.33
HK$2.15
-50.4%
12.1%HK$2.55HK$1.83n/a6
Dec ’25HK$4.23
HK$2.15
-49.2%
12.1%HK$2.55HK$1.83n/a6
Nov ’25HK$3.16
HK$2.17
-31.3%
11.4%HK$2.55HK$1.83n/a7
Oct ’25HK$2.69
HK$2.20
-18.1%
10.2%HK$2.55HK$1.83n/a7
Sep ’25HK$1.87
HK$2.20
+17.8%
10.2%HK$2.55HK$1.83n/a7
Aug ’25HK$1.98
HK$2.29
+15.7%
13.2%HK$2.70HK$1.83n/a7
Jul ’25HK$2.07
HK$2.35
+13.6%
11.9%HK$2.80HK$2.00n/a7
Jun ’25HK$2.07
HK$2.35
+13.6%
11.9%HK$2.80HK$2.00n/a7
May ’25HK$2.21
HK$2.35
+6.4%
11.9%HK$2.80HK$2.00n/a7
Apr ’25HK$2.00
HK$2.35
+17.6%
11.9%HK$2.80HK$2.00n/a7
Mar ’25HK$1.79
HK$2.96
+65.4%
35.5%HK$5.00HK$2.00n/a7
Feb ’25HK$1.72
HK$2.96
+72.2%
35.5%HK$5.00HK$2.00n/a7
Jan ’25HK$2.16
HK$3.08
+42.5%
31.1%HK$5.00HK$2.12n/a8
Dec ’24HK$2.00
HK$3.31
+65.6%
28.1%HK$5.00HK$2.12HK$4.238
Nov ’24HK$2.15
HK$3.62
+68.4%
23.2%HK$5.00HK$2.12HK$3.167
Oct ’24HK$2.60
HK$4.45
+71.0%
24.9%HK$6.50HK$2.90HK$2.699
Sep ’24HK$3.67
HK$4.78
+30.2%
21.8%HK$6.50HK$3.60HK$1.879
Aug ’24HK$3.96
HK$5.44
+37.4%
17.1%HK$6.60HK$3.71HK$1.989
Jul ’24HK$3.90
HK$5.63
+44.4%
14.3%HK$6.60HK$3.71HK$2.079
Jun ’24HK$4.31
HK$5.95
+38.1%
7.0%HK$6.60HK$5.15HK$2.079
May ’24HK$4.66
HK$5.95
+27.7%
7.0%HK$6.60HK$5.15HK$2.219
Apr ’24HK$5.01
HK$5.99
+19.6%
6.6%HK$6.60HK$5.15HK$2.009
Mar ’24HK$4.90
HK$6.05
+23.4%
11.4%HK$7.40HK$4.60HK$1.7910
Feb ’24HK$5.24
HK$6.05
+15.4%
11.4%HK$7.40HK$4.60HK$1.7210
Jan ’24HK$5.24
HK$6.16
+17.6%
11.3%HK$7.40HK$4.60HK$2.1610
Dec ’23HK$5.25
HK$6.24
+18.9%
10.8%HK$7.40HK$4.60HK$2.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies