Blue Moon Group Holdings Limited

SEHK:6993 Stock Report

Mkt Cap: HK$25.3b

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Blue Moon Group Holdings Valuation

Is 6993 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6993?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

6993 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA18.5x
PEG Ratio2.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6993's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6993 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.3x
3331 Vinda International Holdings
32x29.9%HK$22.6b
6601 Cheerwin Group
32x26.0%HK$2.3b
2023 China Ludao Technology
17.8xn/aHK$437.7m
973 L'Occitane International
15.4x17.4%HK$31.6b
6993 Blue Moon Group Holdings
41.3x17.9%HK$25.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6993 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.3x) compared to the peer average (24.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6993's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Household Products Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6993 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.3x) compared to the Asian Household Products industry average (24.5x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6993's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6993 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio41.3x
Fair PE Ratio26.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6993 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.6x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6993 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6993 (HK$4.31) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$3.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6993 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6993 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$4.31
HK$5.95
+38.1%
7.0%HK$6.60HK$5.15n/a9
May ’24HK$4.66
HK$5.95
+27.7%
7.0%HK$6.60HK$5.15n/a9
Apr ’24HK$5.01
HK$5.99
+19.6%
6.6%HK$6.60HK$5.15n/a9
Mar ’24HK$4.90
HK$6.05
+23.4%
11.4%HK$7.40HK$4.60n/a10
Feb ’24HK$5.24
HK$6.05
+15.4%
11.4%HK$7.40HK$4.60n/a10
Jan ’24HK$5.24
HK$6.16
+17.6%
11.3%HK$7.40HK$4.60n/a10
Dec ’23HK$5.25
HK$6.24
+18.9%
10.8%HK$7.40HK$4.60n/a10
Nov ’23HK$4.89
HK$6.24
+27.7%
10.8%HK$7.40HK$4.60n/a10
Oct ’23HK$5.54
HK$6.24
+12.7%
10.8%HK$7.40HK$4.60n/a10
Sep ’23HK$6.01
HK$6.24
+3.8%
11.4%HK$7.40HK$4.60n/a9
Aug ’23HK$6.12
HK$6.57
+7.4%
7.0%HK$7.40HK$5.90n/a8
Jul ’23HK$6.70
HK$7.07
+5.5%
19.2%HK$10.50HK$5.90n/a8
Jun ’23HK$6.19
HK$7.12
+15.0%
18.7%HK$10.50HK$5.90HK$4.318
May ’23HK$6.17
HK$7.12
+15.4%
18.7%HK$10.50HK$5.90HK$4.668
Apr ’23HK$5.82
HK$7.73
+32.7%
22.2%HK$10.50HK$5.90HK$5.018
Mar ’23HK$6.06
HK$8.26
+36.3%
18.7%HK$10.50HK$6.30HK$4.908
Feb ’23HK$6.76
HK$8.26
+22.2%
18.7%HK$10.50HK$6.30HK$5.248
Jan ’23HK$7.40
HK$8.24
+11.3%
19.1%HK$10.50HK$6.10HK$5.248
Dec ’22HK$7.20
HK$8.49
+17.9%
23.1%HK$11.70HK$6.10HK$5.258
Nov ’22HK$6.97
HK$8.49
+21.8%
23.1%HK$11.70HK$6.10HK$4.898
Oct ’22HK$6.81
HK$9.04
+32.8%
22.3%HK$11.70HK$6.10HK$5.548
Sep ’22HK$7.96
HK$9.04
+13.6%
22.3%HK$11.70HK$6.10HK$6.018
Aug ’22HK$7.00
HK$10.28
+46.8%
20.5%HK$12.90HK$7.00HK$6.128
Jul ’22HK$10.98
HK$15.04
+36.9%
15.5%HK$18.20HK$10.94HK$6.708
Jun ’22HK$11.32
HK$15.39
+36.0%
14.9%HK$18.20HK$10.94HK$6.198

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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