Stock Analysis

Cheerwin Group (HKG:6601) Is Increasing Its Dividend To CN¥0.0447

SEHK:6601
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Cheerwin Group Limited (HKG:6601) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 12th of October to CN¥0.0447, which will be 133% higher than last year's comparable payment amount of CN¥0.0192. Based on this payment, the dividend yield for the company will be 3.0%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

View our latest analysis for Cheerwin Group

Cheerwin Group Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. At the time of the last dividend payment, Cheerwin Group was paying out a very large proportion of what it was earning and 96% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows can expose the business to needing to cut the dividend if the business runs into some challenges.

The next 12 months is set to see EPS grow by 41.0%. If the dividend continues on its recent course, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 138%, which is a bit high and could start applying pressure to the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
SEHK:6601 Historic Dividend September 3rd 2023

Cheerwin Group's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Looking back, the company hasn't been paying the most consistent dividend, but with such a short dividend history it could be too early to draw solid conclusions. The most recent annual payment of CN¥0.044 is about the same as the annual payment 2 years ago. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company's earnings are not consistent.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Over the past five years, it looks as though Cheerwin Group's EPS has declined at around 13% a year. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The payments are bit high to be considered sustainable, and the track record isn't the best. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Cheerwin Group that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.