Stock Analysis

Ming Fai International Holdings' (HKG:3828) earnings trajectory could turn positive as the stock rallies 16% this past week

SEHK:3828
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Ming Fai International Holdings Limited (HKG:3828) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 18% in the last month. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. After all, the share price is down 37% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

The recent uptick of 16% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

See our latest analysis for Ming Fai International Holdings

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During five years of share price growth, Ming Fai International Holdings moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

We note that the dividend has fallen in the last five years, so that may have contributed to the share price decline. The revenue decline of about 5.1% per year might also encourage sellers.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:3828 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 7th 2024

This free interactive report on Ming Fai International Holdings' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Ming Fai International Holdings, it has a TSR of -20% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Ming Fai International Holdings shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 13% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 4% per year over the last half decade. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Ming Fai International Holdings (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:3828

Ming Fai International Holdings

An investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and trading of hospitality supplies, and trading of operating supplies and equipment in Hong Kong, North America, Europe, China, Australia, other Asia Pacific regions, and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet established dividend payer.