OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings Limited

SHSC:6929 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$3.2b

OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings Valuation

Is 6929 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6929 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6929 (HK$3.83) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$11.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6929 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6929?

Key metric: As 6929 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6929. This is calculated by dividing 6929's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6929's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.6x
EarningsUS$35.64m
Market CapUS$405.33m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6929's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6929 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.7x
1763 China Isotope & Radiation
7.9xn/aHK$3.4b
1501 Shanghai INT Medical Instruments
26.9x27.2%HK$4.8b
2276 Shanghai Conant Optical
15.2x16.5%HK$6.1b
9997 Kangji Medical Holdings
12.7x12.1%HK$7.3b
6929 OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings
10.6x7.6%HK$3.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6929 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x) compared to the peer average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6929's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Medical Equipment Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2393 Yestar Healthcare Holdings
0.1xn/aUS$21.27m
No more companies available in this PE range
6929 10.6xIndustry Avg. 16.0xNo. of Companies5PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6929 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x) compared to the Hong Kong Medical Equipment industry average (12.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6929's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6929 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.6x
Fair PE Ratio14.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6929 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6929 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
HK$8.44
0%
10.2%HK$9.47HK$7.38n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
HK$8.44
0%
10.2%HK$9.47HK$7.38n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
HK$8.44
0%
10.2%HK$9.47HK$7.38n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
HK$8.44
0%
10.2%HK$9.47HK$7.38n/a3
Aug ’25n/a
HK$8.44
0%
10.2%HK$9.47HK$7.38n/a3
Jul ’25n/a
HK$8.44
0%
10.2%HK$9.47HK$7.38n/a3
Jun ’25n/a
HK$8.44
0%
10.2%HK$9.47HK$7.38n/a3
May ’25n/a
HK$8.44
0%
10.2%HK$9.47HK$7.38n/a3
Apr ’25n/a
HK$8.44
0%
10.2%HK$9.47HK$7.38n/a3
Mar ’25HK$4.40
HK$8.44
+91.8%
10.2%HK$9.47HK$7.38n/a3
Feb ’25HK$5.09
HK$9.28
+82.3%
6.5%HK$9.90HK$8.47n/a3
Jan ’25HK$7.05
HK$9.91
+40.5%
1.0%HK$10.01HK$9.81n/a2
Dec ’24HK$5.98
HK$9.91
+65.7%
1.0%HK$10.01HK$9.81n/a2
Nov ’24HK$8.42
HK$9.91
+17.7%
1.0%HK$10.01HK$9.81n/a2
Oct ’24HK$8.30
HK$9.91
+19.4%
1.0%HK$10.01HK$9.81n/a2
Sep ’24HK$8.93
HK$9.91
+10.9%
1.0%HK$10.01HK$9.81n/a2
Aug ’24HK$8.99
HK$10.35
+15.1%
9.2%HK$11.30HK$9.40n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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