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Adicon Holdings (HKG:9860) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating Adicon Holdings (HKG:9860), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Adicon Holdings is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.089 = CN¥245m ÷ (CN¥4.7b - CN¥1.9b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
Therefore, Adicon Holdings has an ROCE of 8.9%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 8.2% average generated by the Healthcare industry.
See our latest analysis for Adicon Holdings
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Adicon Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Adicon Holdings for free.
What Can We Tell From Adicon Holdings' ROCE Trend?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Adicon Holdings, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 24% over the last four years. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Adicon Holdings has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 41%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
The Bottom Line
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Adicon Holdings' diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 20% from where it was year ago. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
Like most companies, Adicon Holdings does come with some risks, and we've found 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
While Adicon Holdings isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:9860
Adicon Holdings
An investment holding company, operates medical laboratories in the People’s Republic of China.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.
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