Stock Analysis

We're Not Very Worried About Shanghai MicroPort MedBot (Group)'s (HKG:2252) Cash Burn Rate

SEHK:2252
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

So should Shanghai MicroPort MedBot (Group) (HKG:2252) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai MicroPort MedBot (Group)

Does Shanghai MicroPort MedBot (Group) Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at December 2021, Shanghai MicroPort MedBot (Group) had cash of CN¥1.9b and such minimal debt that we can ignore it for the purposes of this analysis. Importantly, its cash burn was CN¥674m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from December 2021 it had 2.9 years of cash runway. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2252 Debt to Equity History May 19th 2022

How Is Shanghai MicroPort MedBot (Group)'s Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

In our view, Shanghai MicroPort MedBot (Group) doesn't yet produce significant amounts of operating revenue, since it reported just CN¥2.2m in the last twelve months. Therefore, for the purposes of this analysis we'll focus on how the cash burn is tracking. Its cash burn positively exploded in the last year, up 471%. With that kind of spending growth its cash runway will shorten quickly, as it simultaneously uses its cash while increasing the burn rate. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

How Hard Would It Be For Shanghai MicroPort MedBot (Group) To Raise More Cash For Growth?

While Shanghai MicroPort MedBot (Group) does have a solid cash runway, its cash burn trajectory may have some shareholders thinking ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Since it has a market capitalisation of CN¥20b, Shanghai MicroPort MedBot (Group)'s CN¥674m in cash burn equates to about 3.4% of its market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

How Risky Is Shanghai MicroPort MedBot (Group)'s Cash Burn Situation?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Shanghai MicroPort MedBot (Group) is burning through its cash. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. Although we do find its increasing cash burn to be a bit of a negative, once we consider the other metrics mentioned in this article together, the overall picture is one we are comfortable with. Considering all the factors discussed in this article, we're not overly concerned about the company's cash burn, although we do think shareholders should keep an eye on how it develops. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 4 warning signs for Shanghai MicroPort MedBot (Group) (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.